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Recon found a center for 93L (VDM), so it is likely to be upgraded to a depression soon.
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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2967
Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico
      Tue Sep 14 2004 04:54 PM

Jim Williams and his Hurricane City Broadcast from 8PM till 11PM and running radio from Jamaica at other times... -- Link to Real Audio -- updated!
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This track may have errors, all people in the Hurricane Warning area need to prepare.


Hurricane Warnings are up, and Hurricane Force Winds are likely in the warning area late tomorrow. From Grand Isle, Louisiana to Apalachicola, Florida. Including New Orleans. The 5PM Track takes it right up Mobile Bay in Alabama. Folks in the affected areas should listen to local media and officials for more information.

Tropical Storm Jeanne is also stronger at 5M, with winds up to 60MPH. This has caused Hurricane Warnings to also be issued for Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands. It may landfall there as a category 1 hurricane.



Hurricane Ivan has weakened today, but the weakening trend has ended, it's about to get over a very warm eddy in the Gulf and it may strengthen a bit again. As it nears the coast shear is expected and may weaken it some, however it will remain a major (Cat3+) hurricane at Landfall, and it looks like Mobile Bay will be under the gun, although a small veer east or west could put it into the other areas. Ivan is also a very large storm, so winds will be felt quite a ways.

After landfall Ivan may stall out the in the Appalachin mountains, possibly causing flooding there.

Jeanne is looking better as well, and may very well become a strong Tropical Storm or minimal hurricane before it approaches the islands. It's future track is up for grabs, but I'm leaning toward the Atlantic right now. Although, again, it may be another one to watch for Florida up to the Mid-Atlantic states. But there is nothing definite in the long term track now.

Ivan will help determine where Jeanne goes in the long term, if Ivan causes the ridge to strengthen it will move more westward, if not, it may be a fish spinner. There is a very wide spread on Jeanne's future now so we will have to watch this. Yes I know you are tired of it.


More to come...

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Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements

Tallahassee, FL (Panhandle) - Long Range Radar Loop
Mobile, AL - Long Range Radar Loop
New Orelans, LA - Long Range Radar Loop
San Juan, PR - Long Range Radar Loop
Key West, FL - Long Range Radar Loop
Tampa Bay/Ruskin,FL (West Central Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop


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Event RelatedLinks

Flhurricane Mobile, AL Webcam from Joseph Johnston
Animated Version of the Mobile webcam
Closeup Animated Visible Satellite of Ivan
Anmated Ivan Visible floater Satellite
Buoy Reports from a buoy near Ivan
Police , fire and rescue scanner audio feeds from Gulf Coast locations
Storm Surge Maps for Alabama
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Tallahassee.
Melbourne

Gulf of Mexico Water temperatures

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
Other Recon Info


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 14 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Note on Ivan Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Radar from Tampa clyde w.   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Radar from Tampa Elaine H   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Ivan - Doppler Radar Fixes berrywr   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico alliecat   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico ALLIECAT   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Evacuation Terra   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico alliecat   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico ShaggyDude   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico OZ IN FL   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:30 PM
. * * Shades of Opal... Mongo   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico troy   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico OZ IN FL   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:35 PM
. * * First Ivan Wind Field map SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:19 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map tenavilla   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:12 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:37 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map belleami   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:28 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map Bruce   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:34 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: First Ivan Wind Field map dani   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:02 PM
. * * New Orleans? SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico spook   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico spook   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico Robin   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Here we go again! SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico ShaggyDude   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:41 PM
. * * jeanne too...to FL and Puerto Rico LoisCane   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:24 PM
. * * Buoy action picking up Mozart   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:36 PM
. * * Jeanne Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Jeanne Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Jeanne Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:20 PM
. * * I need to vent a little.... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: I need to vent a little.... Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: I need to vent a little.... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: I need to vent a little.... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:50 PM
. * * Re: I need to vent a little.... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: IVAN Rad   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Ivan Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Jeanne Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Jeanne Elaine H   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Jeanne SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:32 PM
. * * Prayer Sadie   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Historic event? Tropics Guy   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Beach   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:19 PM
. * * Buoy Data - Ivan berrywr   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Buoy Data - Ivan Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:05 PM
. * * Recon reports mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Odds and Ends Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:44 PM
. * * HELLO!!! SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Re: HELLO!!! k___g   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Re: HELLO!!! sullynole   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:52 PM
. * * Re: HELLO!!! gonyen   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:59 PM
. * * Re: HELLO!!! MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Winds SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Winds MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Winds Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Winds dani   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Frank P .... decisions ... decisions Frank P   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions Kent   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions spook   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:55 PM
. * * New Advisory is Out - Pressure Rising Kdubs   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:50 PM
. * * Sorry - Here's the discussion too *DELETED* Kdubs   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:51 PM
. * * My thoughts for the day Kdubs   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Situation in New Orleans N.O. Lurker   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:59 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day Elaine H   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day spook   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day Girlnascar   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:24 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day RevUp   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:26 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: buoy 42003 sullynole   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:13 PM
. * * Re: My thoughts for the day Kdubs   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Sorry - Here's the discussion too StormHound   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Sorry - Here's the discussion too LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Sorry - Here's the discussion too StormHound   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Sorry - Here's the discussion too StormHound   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Frank P .... decisions ... decisions Girlnascar   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:41 PM
. * * ReI'sa Ready I hope javlin   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:29 PM
. * * CAT 5? SoonerShawn   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Elaine H   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up clueless   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up OrlandoDan   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Redbird   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:34 PM
. * * Thank you redbird LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up gonyen   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Elaine H   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up gonyen   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Winds... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up palmetto   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up BillD   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Buoy action picking up MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:42 PM
. * * Where........... FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Where........... lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Where........... andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Where........... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Rubber Ducky   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Where........... mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Where........... gonyen   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Where........... andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Where........... gonyen   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Where........... belleami   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Where........... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Steve   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Where........... dani   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Where........... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:27 PM
. * * explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil LoisCane   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:38 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil Redbird   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil Bruce   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:13 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil Redbird   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:16 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil anonymous   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:14 PM
. * * Re: explanation of ivan's movement and listen phil MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Where........... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Where........... mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Where........... lcdrgas   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Where........... J Mark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:36 PM
. * * A little OT -- but applies to evac areas... Allison   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Where........... MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Where........... SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Where........... danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Where........... lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:52 PM
. * * GO NOW! LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:01 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:15 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:10 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! Redbird   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:55 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! J Mark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:12 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! Hookd   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:37 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! Clark   Tue Sep 14 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:26 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:07 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:47 PM
. * * Re: GO NOW! jth off   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Where? Maybe Pass Christian LoisCane   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:44 PM
. * * convince me to leave as well Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Where........... SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Where........... HCW   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Where........... CentralFlorida   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Where........... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:00 PM
. * * One thing to watch.... wxman007   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:59 PM
. * * Re: One thing to watch.... ShanaTX   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:59 PM
. * * Got it LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Got it MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Thomas Email WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Where........... Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Where........... No More Than Me   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:29 PM

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