Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator
Loc: Melbourne, FL
A Change of Season
Wed Oct 13 2004 10:37 AM
Subtropical Storm Nicole was wrapped into a strong extratropical low pressure system that moved north over Nova Scotia. Invest 97L, well southwest of the Azores, may acquire subtropical characteristics as it moves slowly westward, but is faces increasing wind shear as it does so. The rest of the basin is quiet.
A strong jetstream has closed off the Gulf of Mexico and even a baroclinic hybrid system seems unlikely. The far eastern Atlantic now shows increasing shear, so the Caribbean Sea remains as the only area that could still produce a tropical cyclone - but even that area is benign. Perhaps one more storm before this uncommon season finally ends - perhaps not. For those of us in Florida, the memories of this season will not fade quickly as we continue to repair and rebuild.
Mount st. Helens Volcanocam animation
Skeetobite's storm track maps
NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)
Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.
Follow worldwide SST evolution here:
Global SST Animation
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images
RAMSDIS Satellite Images (high speed)
Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.