What I do NOT like about #3 is that the circles represents an area of possible centers of the storm, not areas that the storm could affect with storm force winds or higher. Skeeters maps are much more informative, convey the LIKELY path, describe the probable areas affected by the storm force winds and are easy to interpret.
My second choice would be the graphics used by the NRL take into the consideration of the variable size of the wind fields in the 4 quadrants. If Skeetobite could combine the two, his and the NRL somehow, it would be perfect Neither the NRL nor Skeeter show the area of uncertainty very well, but do they need to? Can they just put 'dotted cones of uncertainty' around the official 'probable' path just like the current NHC graphical depiction?
Best of all scenereos: Use Skeetobite's graphics, superimpose the NRL wind fields and put the dotted 'cone of uncertainty' lightly around it all
A forecast is NOT a promise!
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