I forgot to mention some comments about the NHC graphics -- I like option 3, but primarily for the storms that are not meandering about, moving in a loop, or hardly moving at all -- under those circumstances, option 3 becomes very confusing.
I like the arguments to include wind swath, but that is an even tougher aspect to forecast (though they do it anyway) and adds even more uncertainty when you consider the average track errors are around 200mi at 3-4 days; adding ~200mi on each side of the circle/cone complicates things, I think. For storms closer to the coast, a smaller graphic projecting the wind swath -- like Skeetobite's -- would be very useful.
I don't like option 2, as it solely shows points and the swath. Option 1 -- the current option -- is a feasible option, as is option 2 if you remove the points altogether. But, for a society that likes certainty -- and for the sake of improving forecasts down the line -- I think that'd be tough to swallow. Lines like the Weather Channel has are a good compromise.
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