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danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: South Pacific
      Wed Feb 16 2005 11:00 PM

Update on OLAF.
WARNING POSITION:
17/0000Z8 --- NEAR 15.4S0 168.2W7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT (161 MPH), GUSTS 170 KT (195.5 mph)

...REMARKS:
170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 167.8W2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19P (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127, 140 AND 155 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES TC 19P REMAINS RELATIVELY SYMMETRIC SYSTEM WITH A WELL DEFINED EYE. TC 19P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE CENTERED TO THE EAST. TC 19P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS DRIER AIR AND SLIGHTLY INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 AND 172100Z1.//

JTWC link.
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html


Edited by danielw (Wed Feb 16 2005 11:13 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* South Pacific BloodstarModerator Wed Feb 16 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: South Pacific ClarkModerator   Fri Feb 18 2005 01:06 AM
. * * Re: South Pacific James88   Fri Feb 18 2005 04:11 AM
. * * perfect storm... bah HanKFranK   Fri Feb 18 2005 05:17 PM
. * * Re: perfect storm... bah ClarkModerator   Sun Feb 20 2005 01:08 AM
. * * Re: perfect storm... bah danielwAdministrator   Wed Feb 23 2005 03:33 AM
. * * Re: perfect storm... bah James88   Fri Feb 18 2005 06:15 PM
. * * Re: South Pacific BloodstarModerator   Wed Feb 16 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: South Pacific danielwAdministrator   Wed Feb 16 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: South Pacific LI Phil   Thu Feb 17 2005 12:07 PM
. * * Re: South Pacific doug   Wed Feb 16 2005 11:36 AM

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