Who'd thunk it? We're looking at rare May system moving toward Central America.
The NHC intensity forecast is pretty interesting. They're basically calling for a fairly weak storm throughout, but the possiblity exists for a much stronger system (perhaps a hurricane). For now, the depression is in an area that is favorable for development. A hurricane seems possible, but I think a moderate/strong TS at landfall is a bit more reasonable (per NHC).
After the crossing of Central America, what's left of the system will have to be looked at. A trough will likely have dipped into the Caribbean by that time, so it is possible that the system will get torn to shreds. An alternate scenario is that the system begins to take on some frontal characteristics. In any event, TD 1E bears some watching for folks on both sides.
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