Adrian is still pretty much holding his own, and it wouldn't surprise me if he strengthens by a few knots before landfall...even with the watches and warnings posted for el salvador & guatemala, this is gonna be a tremendous rainmaker, especially as he makes his trek across the mountains...i fear (although on a smaller scale) death and destruction similar to that seen during the may unnamed storm and jeanne in haiti...mudslides and mud huts don't mix well...
as far as "regeneration" once he crosses the ca mountains, i think right now its a crap shoot....i will say this, though, adrian probably emerges on the other side as a td, and if he should gain enough strength to reach ts status, it's a fair bet the NHC will call this arlene...i'm certainly not willing to say this will happen, but we cannot discount this as a possibility, at least not yet...
keith and HanKFranK both bring forth excellent points...either way, we have a minimal hurricane about to strike the central american coast and he may, if current and predicted movement remains, take the path of least resistance, milage wise, to our basin...
welcome to hurricane season 2005...looks like ima come up with a new season slogan for this year...tsfh is over and we could have an early start to 2005
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
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