Quote: In the latter part of the GFS model, it has a couple of low pressure signatures in the gulf of mexico. Could this be a sign of a tropical system on the horizon. :?:
(Standard Disclaimer: IANAM, so what I say is more my own personal thoughts and analysis, Don't rely upon me, because I don't know that I'm talking about!)
Don't see it happening, anything the GFS projects I tend to take with a grain of salt anyway, and what lowpressures it is developing look to be a part of a frontal boundry of sorts. (if it were January or February, I'd say there'd be a shot at a southern snow storm).
Add into it the wind shear doesn't look like it's going to relax for a little while (unless I'm reading things wrong), so everything points to a no go for a ltittle while.
As it is, we're going to have a quiet start to the season, Don't worry, we're going to have plenty of action. Certainly Last year started slow, but oh boy did it make up for it.
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2018.
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