arlene is becoming interesting again...she has bumped up her winds to 55 mph with reports of gusts to 70...she has also begun to accelerate slightly and is expected to continue to speed up her trek towards the gulf states...landfall and intensity are still anyone's guess, but ima say just west of mobile bay, saturday night (late), 65 mph or so...every one from mobile east is prolly due for a decent soaking, though if she continues increasing her forward speed, it may spare most from 10+" deluges...winds shouldn't be much of a problem, but if one still does not have a roof, tarps better be secured as frimly as possible
i had a little side bet with jason that this would at some point achieve cane status, but right now this is a bet ima prepared to lose (not quite crow...but close...i'm starting early this year) too much sheer left over from an upper level trof in the GOM will prevent intensification to cane status (not that that is a bad thing)
watching TWC as i type this and it is amazing how Pensacola in many areas still looks like a war zone from ivan...
that's about all for now...will wait and see what the 11:00 says...
everybody BUCKLE UP
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
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