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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Arlene on final approach
      Sat Jun 11 2005 02:01 PM

Recon indicates that Arlene's weaker convective pattern is generating lesser winds than late yesterday, now at 60 MPH. The central pressure is at 991 Mb, not far removed from it's lowest point yesterday at 989.



Much of the weather from Arlene is already onshore, with the weak partial CDO feature ringing the eye coming onshore in the next two hours. Landfall will occur around 20Z, or 2PM Central Daylight time right near the AL/FL line between Orange Beach and Pensacola Beach.

On the immediate coastline sustained winds 50-60 MPH with gusts to near hurricane force may occur in the stronger bands. Once that's done, there is still scattered convection from outer bands from the Central Panhandle, east over the Peninsula and much of Georgia. Steadier rains along the northwestern side of the storm are occuring near the AL/MS line and over Northern Alabama.. this should be where the highest precip totals occur and spread north through the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys over the next day or two. There may be some peripheral severe weather as it moves north, but there has been little so far. Modeling maintains Arlene's low and tracks it off the Northeast coast next week as an extratropical system.

There are model rumblings in the Caribbean, with a disturbance persistently appearing near Jamaica going into early next week. The pattern will have changed by then and probably keep such a feature away from the U.S., but it will be an interesting feature to watch. The other former disturbance, 91L, is a fading low level swirl in a sheared, strong subsidence environment southwest of Bermuda.

Arlene may have bucked the trend, but since it's June these things have to work extra hard to get going.

HF 1900z11june

Event Related Links

Mark Sudduth at Gulf Shores

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar Loop

Key West long range radar loop
Tallahassee, FL long range radar loop
Tampa Long Range Radar loop

Color Sat of Arlene

Animated model plots for Arlene
Electronic Map Wall (PSU)
Caribbean Island Weather Reports

Edited by MikeC (Sat Jun 11 2005 06:18 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Arlene on final approach HanKFranK Sat Jun 11 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Domino   Sun Jun 12 2005 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 13 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Orlando, FL   Sun Jun 12 2005 07:36 AM
. * * TWO Jamiewx   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: TWO Keith234   Sun Jun 12 2005 03:58 PM
. * * Re: TWO Orlando, FL   Sun Jun 12 2005 08:02 PM
. * * Re: TWO BillD   Sun Jun 12 2005 10:40 PM
. * * Re: TWO Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 12 2005 08:42 PM
. * * Re: TWO Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: TWO Jamiewx   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: TWO MikeG   Sun Jun 12 2005 03:35 PM
. * * Arlene's Future Clark   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Arlene's Future Droop31   Sun Jun 12 2005 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Clark   Sat Jun 11 2005 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Terra   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 12 2005 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach KN4LF   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach damejune2   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach rmbjoe1954   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach damejune2   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach LI Phil   Sat Jun 11 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach damejune2   Sat Jun 11 2005 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach ljmax   Sat Jun 11 2005 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach damian   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Arlene on final approach Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:05 PM

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