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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

recon
Sat Jul 02 2005 04:30 PM

if i was in louisiana, i'd start contingency planning for a hurricane around wednesday. got a hunch that this thing will develop, cross the corner of the yucatan, and deepen significantly in the gulf early next week. can't go further than that.. do think that this is a named system inside 36 hrs. recon will probably fixing a center tomorrow.
as far as the system posing a threat to fla.. nah. 500mb ridge is building right over the state, weakness in the subtropical ridge axis will be 90-95w around the middle of next week. one of the shortwaves on the upper trough to the north will probably grab it and start it's recurvature around 27n or so.
as if it needed some criticism to show signs of life, the wave east of the islands is perking up today since my comments earlier. the sw-ne double-barreled profile it had last week is less strung out, and potentially going to focus on the convective v in the itcz that it's made. a vortex will probably start to tighten there, nearing barbados and the lower lesser antilles sunday. upper environment is ok, but a lot of saharan desert air in the area. it's broad and in a subsidence environment, so it won't spin up quickly if it does. unlikely we'll see anything out of this sooner than early next week. the models tracking the wave discretely as far as 80w makes me think it isn't going away.. even if it doesn't develop.
less prominent wave near 30w. eastpac disturbance south of the gulf of tehuantepec making a showing. active july pattern in the atlantic.
HF 2124z02july

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Sat Jul 02 2005 04:30 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Jul 01 2005 07:23 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Steve	Thu Jun 30 2005 06:42 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:03 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 07:00 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:26 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Jun 30 2005 06:46 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:48 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Check again	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:10 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:40 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:09 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Robert	Fri Jul 01 2005 11:25 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Mapmaster	Fri Jul 01 2005 06:19 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Orlando, FL	Fri Jul 01 2005 06:33 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jul 01 2005 07:14 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Fri Jul 01 2005 08:36 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:28 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:44 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 04:48 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:32 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:58 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 07:13 AM
emphasis	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 11:37 AM
Caribbean Development	Rich B	Sat Jul 02 2005 11:45 AM
Re: Caribbean Development	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 01:16 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	recmod	Sat Jul 02 2005 01:45 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Orlando, FL	Sat Jul 02 2005 01:53 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 01:55 PM
recon	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 04:30 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:05 PM
Re: recon	schmoo	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:33 PM
Re: recon	Lysis-in-Texas	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:35 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:26 AM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:44 PM
alberto/fla	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:04 PM
Re: alberto/fla	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:27 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:51 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Big tk	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:00 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:14 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:29 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:30 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:39 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:22 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:37 AM
TD? and the Yucatan	Rich B	Sun Jul 03 2005 10:30 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 10:52 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 03 2005 11:21 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:36 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:49 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:57 PM
Amazing!!	MaoMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:30 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 10:46 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 11:29 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 11:47 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:12 PM
invests and lamentations	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:11 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:34 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:23 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:10 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 03 2005 11:15 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 11:47 AM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:46 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:59 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:02 PM
Re: errata	MapMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:34 PM
Active	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:06 PM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	recmod	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:31 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:54 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Big Tk	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:35 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Lysis-	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:59 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	-lysis	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:12 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:14 PM
Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:39 PM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:46 PM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:57 PM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:07 PM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:53 PM
Re: recon	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:03 PM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 06:06 PM
Re: recon	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 04:58 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 11:54 AM
Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Fri Jul 01 2005 06:33 AM
stuff to watch	HanKFranK	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:38 PM

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