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Archives >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Anonymous
Unregistered




This could be anyone's storm....
      Thu Sep 19 2002 04:17 PM

If the NHC forecast is correct on calling this storm to sit in the GOMEX and move very slowly, I'd have to think that by 72 hours any possible amplifications would pick this storm up. NWS Melbourne seem more uncertain about this one than ever.

I'm currently thinking lanfall near Pensacola as a category 3 or category 4 hurricane. The Florida Peninsula will feel effects for this reason: look at the storm size! This storm is huge, especially on it's southern quad. That is where all of the rough weather is.

Also...about the models turning this storm west...all I can say is whether this storm goes more westerly or more easterly with time, nothing would be fast to occur.

Another possiblity is a reverse of Elena...Elena tried to go east but a ridge built back in and she went west. Given the situation now, Isidore could try to go west but it would be far enough north to be caught by an amplification and sent NE and E.

Just my thoughts and this time...my confidene beyond tomorrow is 0% barring any major speed or motion changes. Can't pinpoint a location...but still thinking that anyone from New Orleans eastward could get hurricane conditions due to Isidore's large size. We have plenty of time to watch this storm because it is moving so slowly. Just don't be surprised to see big problems by the middle of next week.

Kevin

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength CFHCAdministrator Thu Sep 19 2002 04:17 PM
. * * We have and EYE.... Cocoa Beach   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:11 PM
. * * Eye does seem to be forming Cocoa beach   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:46 PM
. * * I am thinking......... SirCane   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:21 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength PaulyAce2002   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:53 PM
. * * Re: CLimatology... Sir Cane Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:41 PM
. * * haha..sir cane u always were adorable Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:31 PM
. * * Round and Round he goes... Cocoa Beach   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:46 AM
. * * WOW - 99 people on line... Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:01 PM
. * * Re: WOW - 99 people on line... PaulyAce2002   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:07 PM
. * * May go anywhere Cycloneye   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... PaulyAce2002   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Round and Round he goes... doug   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:42 PM
. * * Hey Doug... Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Hey Doug... Justin in Miami   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:14 PM
. * * Where else? Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:32 PM
. * * What are the upper influences doing? Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:42 PM
. * * Steve ShawnS   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:46 PM
. * * well... Brett   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:58 PM
. * * Re: well... Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:22 PM
. * * Subtle key Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:29 PM
. * * Re: well... scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:11 PM
. * * East of Youth??? Cocoa Beach   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:32 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:36 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? Kimster   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:33 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? Marktropic   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:52 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? Joe   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:05 PM
. * * Catching up/morning thoughts... wxman007   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:29 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:10 PM
. * * NWS Miami Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:02 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami Marktropic   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:43 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami ShawnS   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:06 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami Volusia Mike   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:12 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:19 PM
. * * track and intensity Rickoshade   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:30 PM
. * * Thanks Rick... Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Just for Kicks the 12Z NOGAPS Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:29 PM
. * * Thanks Jason for the vortex info Cycloneye   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Rick... andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:28 PM
. * * LOL... Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:39 PM
. * * Re: LOL... andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:56 PM
. * * Re: LOL... andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 05:04 PM
. * * Re: New user LadyStorm   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Rick... Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:03 PM
. * * This could be anyone's storm.... Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:17 PM
. * * I dunno Brett   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:37 PM
. * * Re: I dunno VolusiaMike   Thu Sep 19 2002 07:34 PM
. * * This could be anyone's storm was by me. Kevin   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:20 PM
. * * NHC's Thoughts from 5AM Discussion Yesterday...... Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:48 PM
. * * Re: NHC's Thoughts from 5AM Discussion Yesterday...... andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:07 PM
. * * Steve Rickoshade   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:48 PM
. * * Steve Rickoshade   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:47 PM
. * * Rick Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:51 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami ShawnS   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:19 PM
. * * An interesting off the record note from a chief met friend in SC... Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:12 PM
. * * Let's take a look at the overall movements since 11pm last night Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Let's take a look at the overall movements since 11pm last night Joe   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Let's take a look at the overall movements since 11pm last night andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:44 PM
. * * Vortex message : HUH? Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Vortex message : HUH? Joe   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Vortex message : HUH? Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:55 PM
. * * IFR Sat. Marktropic   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:12 PM
. * * you know.. HanKFranK   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:39 PM
. * * Re: you know../We have a cane... wxman007   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:42 PM
. * * Model info... wxman007   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:55 PM
. * * Re: you know.. BabyCat   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:41 PM
. * * Re: IFR Sat. Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:17 PM
. * * New Recon...Pressure drops and higher winds... wxman007   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:20 PM
. * * Re: New Recon...Pressure drops and higher winds... Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:23 PM
. * * Major league convective burst! Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Vortex message : HUH? wxman007   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Vortex message : HUH? Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Vortex message : HUH? caneman   Thu Sep 19 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Let's take a look at the overall movements since 11pm last night Joe   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:47 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:11 PM
. * * Re: NWS Miami scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:10 PM
. * * Re: East of Youth??? andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:58 PM
. * * Test Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Test Cocoa Beach   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:09 PM
. * * Re: well... Anonymousnickd   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:29 PM
. * * Re: well... scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:29 PM
. * * Re: well... Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 03:23 PM
. * * Re: well... Anonymousnickd   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:36 PM
. * * Re: well... Anonymousnickd   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Hey Doug... scottsvb   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:26 PM
. * * Models are going to be a problem.... Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength andy1tom   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength Rasvar   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:31 AM
. * * izzy rick in mobile   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:26 AM
. * * Re: izzy FlaRebel   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:29 AM
. * * Re: izzy Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:44 PM
. * * Re: izzy bsnyder   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:04 PM
. * * bsnyder StormHound   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Brett StormHound   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:30 PM
. * * Re: izzy Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:51 PM
. * * Re: izzy JustMe   Thu Sep 19 2002 02:07 PM
. * * Re: izzy Colleen A.   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:40 PM
. * * Re: izzy Anonymous   Thu Sep 19 2002 01:11 PM
. * * I don't see Cat 5 StormHound   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:41 AM
. * * Re: I don't see Cat 5 doug   Thu Sep 19 2002 12:12 PM
. * * Re: izzy Steve   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:35 AM
. * * Izzy Southern4sure   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Isidore Nearing Hurricane Strength tom5r   Thu Sep 19 2002 11:13 AM

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