ralph, at the time, that is what the forecast models were saying, that is where the NHC track placed the threat undeer towards, and that is what the storm appeared to be doing. Things change, and so do forecasts, as we've seen with Emily many times already -- both on its track and intensity. Being so far out, that is bound to happen with almost any storm. Bottom line, you just have to be prepared in advance and ready to execute a plan in case the storm does threaten you. No one was implying a threat any more so than the official forecast, forecast guidance, and synoptic environment suggested. Take a look at the initial 5-day NHC forecasts and you'll see this.
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