Saturday - 10PM Update The easterly shear over Irene has relaxed quite a bit and the Tropical Storm is now drifting to the north - currently near 31N 69.5W. The CDO has reformed over the center, so some intensification is still possible during the next 24 hours. Strong westerlies to the north of the cyclone should take Irene out to sea in a couple of days - with no direct impact on any land mass, i.e., I am now a lot more comfortable with the 'all clear' call.
TD 10 is fighting southerly shear and for the next couple of days it will encounter a hostile upper air environment - intensification, if any, will be slow. The system is moving slowly westward, however if the system survives the next couple of days (and it might), a west northwest to northwest motion seems likely.
An active wave in the central Caribbean along 70W is moving to the west northwest. The wave is disorganized and, at the moment , upper level conditions are not favorable for development - but the system is certainly worth keeping an eye on. ED
Original Post We still have Irene but now TD 10 has formed, and as of now may be something for the Southeast US coast to watch.
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