The models are highly divergent. Some take it south of Florida into the Gulf (BAM). Others take it over FL into the Gulf (CMC, NOGAPS, UKMET). And still others take it into FL, bounce it off, then have it move up along the coast and hit NC (GFS, LBAR).
EDIT: Fixed model names to match latest model tracks...was using noon models from memory in original post
Actually, I think the models are in pretty good agreement - if u took the average of the Dynamic and Global Models u pretty much get the NHC track. Most them bring it up somewhere near the south end of FL and across. Will we see some changes - absolutely. If there is a change I would tend to say a little further north on the east coast and maybe not such a hard left (more W-NW) across the peninsula. There will be a rather large blocking high off the east coast in about 72 hours which will prevent a northward up the coast or NE out to sea scenario. The mysterious LBAR is the only model that takes it that path. Given the synoptic conditions its got to come across the peninsula at some point.
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