Recent climatology suggests the biggest impact will be east of the Mississippi. Eventually, this analog will no longer work, but I go with them until they do not. You can pretty much see by that map the mean position of the offshore high. That doesn't mean I think NO is out of the woods, just that I don't expect forecasts to keep shifting west. P.S. to anyone who lives in that area: Try to get Jim Cantore and Stephanie Abrams banned from your towns. Hurricanes only hit where they sit.
Reminds me of the jokes from last year about Florida. But, it makes good sense.
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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