Quote: Based on satellite and radar the west side of this storm is falling apart and the motion is 350-360 deg. Really good news for NO at least for the wind effects as I suspect the city will see around 100mph sustained as they should be at least several miles from the W eyewall. I'm not qualified to guess on the flooding (not that I was qualified to guess the wind either), but obviously the weakening will lessen the effects.
As I write, the NHC update confirms the turn to the north and weakening to cat 4..
I wouldnt say its falling apart, looks like some dry air maybe mixing in. Nnabb from the NHC said that it is still well developed and that it can still re-intensify.
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