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Archives >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
where are we...?
      Tue Sep 24 2002 07:44 PM

isidore: hasnt changed much today. inner core is bare, convection is all in bands 200 miles away. no significant changes until cdo starts to redevelop, and i cant predict when that will happen. it SHOULD happen at some point, but the later it does, the weaker the storm. notice nhc official intensity at landfall keeps getting lower and lower.
track philosophy.. still staying with southeast louisiana. not going away from that until it's obviously headed northeast. it has jogged that way a couple of times but headed generally north.
lili: too much hype already. i keep hearing east coast of florida and such. still not entirely sure it is going to hold together.. in spite of its intensification the system is elongated per recon reports, and still getting sheared fairly heavily. the orientation of the shear is changing.. so in all sensible logic the storm should begin to finally organize.. but still uncertain. nhc track is finally shifting to the south in the short term.. but i'm south in the long term. think jamaica a more likely target than haiti. the bastardi idea that this doesnt come up, but cuts off near the florida straits.. is what im going to go with. i sort of saw it crossing the caribbean and coming up behind isidore, but looks like the post isidore ampification should stay north and just stall it or something. lots of land interaction possible, making an intensity forecast is useless.
kyle: should slowly keep working south and west. it's cut off behind a mean ridge, and when that ridge is strong it will be driven along the periphery. by the way nhc has been too low with intensity, this system is a hurricane as we speak. of course, in a year of 954mb tropical storms i dont expect them to come that close.
nothing else in the basin threatening. mrf in the long range has some western caribbean suggestions, but still waiting for more verification on the synoptic pattern, and any potential spark system that would be needed there.
HF 2346z24september

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Sep 24 2002 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Rick   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Rick   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts meto   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:11 PM
. * * I agree....... SirCane   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:04 PM
. * * It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:22 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:39 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:31 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Kevin   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:29 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Stmwtcher   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:11 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... mbfly   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:28 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:27 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:30 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... MelbDave   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:37 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:39 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:47 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:49 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:03 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:20 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:25 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:33 PM
. * * izzyinmobile RickinMobile   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:50 PM
. * * Re: izzyinmobile Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:00 PM
. * * Re: izzyinmobile mbfly   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:56 PM
. * * Re: izzyinmobile Rick   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:03 PM
. * * question for Jason capesanblasfl   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:22 PM
. * * Re: question for Jason wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:31 PM
. * * Re: question for Jason caneman   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:44 PM
. * * Re: question for Jason Ricreig   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:25 PM
. * * where are we...? HanKFranK   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:44 PM
. * * Re: where are we...? alan   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:14 PM
. * * Re: question for Jason ShawnS   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:34 PM
. * * Re: question for Jason Rick   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:50 PM
. * * The Cape and Florida... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:37 PM
. * * Re: The Cape and Florida... joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:53 PM
. * * Yo Jo... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:07 PM
. * * Talk About Large WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:42 PM
. * * Re: The GFDL models Rick   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:02 PM
. * * Re: The GFDL models joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:13 PM
. * * Evening all Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:24 PM
. * * Opal Rickinmobile   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:03 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... Lorraine   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:57 PM
. * * Re: It's moving NE... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts meto   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:26 PM
. * * About the "Appears to be heading NE"... Steve   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:50 PM
. * * Re: About the "Appears to be heading NE"... joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts usufruct   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:05 PM
. * * That's it for me.......... SirCane   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:08 AM
. * * Re: That's it for me.......... ShawnS   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:14 AM
. * * Shawn Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:16 AM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Domino   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:05 AM
. * * 4am update out... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:47 AM
. * * 2 Systems WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:22 AM
. * * Question Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Floridacane   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts DopplerGal   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts HanKFranK   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Frank P   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts mp3reed   Mon Sep 23 2002 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts wxman007   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Lili Looms - Isidore Drifts Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:10 PM
. * * Latest model runs... OH JOY Frank P   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY joepub1   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY Justin in Miami   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY Londovir   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY Frank P   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Latest model runs... OH JOY troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:09 PM
. * * back in the bath before sunrise rickinmobile   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:19 PM
. * * Re: back in the bath before sunrise Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:22 PM
. * * already moving, unless I am seeing things... rick in mobile   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:32 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Floridacane   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:39 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Floridacane   Mon Sep 23 2002 10:41 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Houstontracker   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:14 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Kimmie at home   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:28 PM
. * * My Two Cents Worth! ShawnS   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:39 PM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:44 PM
. * * My question troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:48 PM
. * * hmm... Anonymous (HF)   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:07 AM
. * * Re: My question Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:51 PM
. * * Re: My question Floridacane   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:20 AM
. * * Re: bsnyder   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:27 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! Anonymous   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:48 PM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! wxman007   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:51 PM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:06 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:08 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:16 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! scottsvb   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:31 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! Londovir   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:37 AM
. * * Re: My Two Cents Worth! Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:43 AM
. * * The 00z AVN... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 01:07 AM
. * * Re: The 00z AVN... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 01:15 AM
. * * Jason Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 01:34 AM
. * * NHC confirmed the northerly motion Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 01:50 AM
. * * I'll stay with what I said yesterday. Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 06:50 AM
. * * My thoughts this morning... Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:16 AM
. * * Re: My thoughts this morning... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:33 AM
. * * Re: My thoughts this morning... Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:28 AM
. * * Opal, and others Rick in Mobile   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:36 AM
. * * Re: Opal, and others Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Opal, and others Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:11 AM
. * * Lili info Mike   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Lili info joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:22 AM
. * * houma Anonymous (HF)   Tue Sep 24 2002 09:32 AM
. * * For the record... Steve   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:53 AM
. * * Re: For the record... Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 11:11 AM
. * * Warnings and Watches mbfly   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Warnings and Watches joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:57 PM
. * * Isidore and Lili Kevin   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:43 PM
. * * Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Steve   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Kevin   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... doug   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:47 PM
. * * One girl against two guys? joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:04 PM
. * * Re: One girl against two guys? Kevin   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:26 PM
. * * Re: One girl against two guys? Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:54 PM
. * * Agree on slight NNE drift for Isidore last few frames... Steve   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Agree on slight NNE drift for Isidore last few frames... clyde w.   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Agree on slight NNE drift for Isidore last few frames... clyde w.   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Kevin - I disagree on Lili... Joe   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Izzy and Lizzy...err Lili Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Warnings and Watches Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Warnings and Watches joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Warnings and Watches jlauderdal   Tue Sep 24 2002 03:42 PM
. * * Dummies at the NWS reset the storm totals! Steve   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Dummies at the NWS reset the storm totals! Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Warnings and Watches andy1tom   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:36 PM
. * * Re: For the record... recmod   Tue Sep 24 2002 11:04 AM
. * * Re: For the record... Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 11:21 AM
. * * IKL HanKFranK   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:12 PM
. * * Lili is There Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Lili is There Anonymous   Tue Sep 24 2002 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Lili is There joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Lili is There joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 02:03 PM
. * * Just lookin.... wxman007   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Just lookin.... Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Just lookin.... VolusiaMike   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Just lookin.... Rasvar   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:51 AM
. * * Lookin at Lili recmod   Tue Sep 24 2002 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Just lookin.... joepub1   Tue Sep 24 2002 11:09 AM
. * * Kyle Robert   Tue Sep 24 2002 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Lili info tom5r   Tue Sep 24 2002 08:32 AM
. * * one more thing Frank P   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:35 AM
. * * looks like izzy is getting frizzy RickiinMobile   Tue Sep 24 2002 07:13 AM
. * * Lili Lifting Up? Londovir   Tue Sep 24 2002 12:03 AM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Floridacane   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:28 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... troy2   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:27 PM
. * * Re: already moving, unless I am seeing things... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 23 2002 11:42 PM

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