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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

CFHCAdministrator



Reged: Sun
Posts: 148
Loc: East Central Florida
Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch
      Mon Sep 30 2002 11:47 AM

The last part of todays 11AM National Hurricane Center Discussion on Lili states "BOTTOM LINE IS THAT WE SHOULD HAVE A MAJOR HURRICANE NEARING THE GULF COASTLINE IN THREE DAYS TIME". This says it all.

Apologies for the lack of updates, I was taking a break because Lili will be the story this week. Lili is forecast to be a major Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico mid week, nearing either the Northern Texas or Louisiana coastline. This one won't have the Yucatan to pulll it apart like Isidore, so everyone along the Gulf coast, and especially the areas I mentioned needs to watch the storm like a hawk.

Now to dehype. The storm is just barely a hurricane, and is about to clip Jamaica, the Caymans, and Western Cuba again. Causing even more rain and a bit of wind for them, when they do not need it. Later on in the week the NHC has it nearing Lousiana and North Texas. I don't see any reason right now to disagree, but anything is possible. Ignore the hype and watch the facts and do as the local authorities say. Once lili is in the Gulf, it will not be a meanderer like Isidore was, so the time is shorter. The water is very warm in the gulf and can support a major hurricane, and that is what the hurricane center is predicting also. Be aware of this fact, and be ready to take action if the need arises.



Kyle is still around as well, now threatening Bermuda again, but moving away from the US.

Havana, Cuba Radar


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City Weather Audio Broadcast Network - Live Audio from Jim Williams and Barometer Bob , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 30 2002 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch dennis   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch Brad in Miami   Mon Sep 30 2002 04:08 PM
. * * Couple of Site Fixes MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch MikeB   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Predictions Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Predictions Steve H.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Lili Now A Hurricane. Rich B   Mon Sep 30 2002 11:57 AM
. * * Strike Possibilities..... Colleen A.   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
. * * Wassup Guru Colleen? Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
. * * Silent ShawnS   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:10 PM
. * * Colleen.......HEY SHAWN Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 12:53 PM
. * * Hey Frank P.. Houstontracker   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. scottsvb   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:51 PM
. * * lili threatens, kyle toys HanKFranK   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Hey Frank P.. Frank P   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:45 PM
. * * Some differences in the new runs... Steve   Mon Sep 30 2002 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Some differences in the new runs... Stevenotloggedin   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Kyle Brett   Mon Sep 30 2002 03:18 PM
. * * New Iberia jth   Mon Sep 30 2002 01:36 PM

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