I think they are doing a plane switch right now - that would explain why we didn't get a recon about a half hour ago. Don't know how quickly the new plane will get to the storm, but we should have a fix soon...supposed to be a 00Z recon flight, and that's 10 min's away - should be reaching the storm before long, if it isn't there already.
BTW GK: Shrinking = strengthening. When it gets small enough an ERC might occur, but it could also hold off for a little while.
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