Quote: Unfortunately, one can not make a snap shot of the atmosphere and assume that 10 minutes (even) from now those parameters will persist.
Not following you here, as I was talking about changes occuring over time, not about a snapshot. I don't know a lot of information about other factors in steering hurricanes, but if there are additional details, I'd be really interested in seeing a post about those. I think it's important to look at specifics rather than generalize. Without specifics, how could anyone know if a general statement like "models are biased to the left of the actual track" is valid or not. It could be a coincidence, if you're talking about only two storms.
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