Nothing of surprise in the 11pm discussion, except that they don't raise the intensity much, but they don't drop it much before landfall either: a solid Cat 4. At that intensity it's going to be bad.
The track at point of landfall remains essentially the same as the last two discussions (I plotted them all)...just west of Port Arthur. CNN just showed a visual which indicated most of the land there would be under water in a storm surge. Wistfully wishing they'd thought to do to that before Katrina hit the MS Gulf Coast. Might have saved several hundred lives.
Rita's large windfield is about to run out of real estate. Won't that have a significant effect on intensity starting about 12 hours from now?
Note -- you can see the convection around the outer eyewall on the sat wv 02:45Z image.
What does shortwave IR show vs IR? The shortwave IR is looking very symmetrical and values around the storm maxed out on the scale.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 47969
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center