349 URNT12 KNHC 231036 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE ... H. 927 mb I. 14 C/ 3052 m J. 17 C/ 3048 m K. 16 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C30 ... SOUTH 20 PERCENT OF EYE WALL BULGING OUTWARD 8NM; REST CIRCULAR.
Yeah, the eyewall's now closed and she's got the warm water, both of which should help with strengthening. However, there's only a 3 degree temperature difference and she's not circular, so I suspect we might see a little more weakening before she starts to strengthen. At the least, I would think she's going to take a little time to strengthen, and we're not going to see anything explosive.
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