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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

04GTP
Registered User

Reged: Tue
Posts: 2
Loc: Saint Petersburg Beach, FL

GFS Projections for Tampa Bay Area
Tue Oct 04 2005 06:09 PM

Has anyone taken a look at the 12z 10/4/05 GFS model run?

For the past two days, GFS has been predicting what looks to be a Cat-1 or Cat-2 storm winding itself up from the NE Yucatan Peninsula and working it's way to (roughly) the mouth of Tampa Bay in 66 hours or so.

It doesn't have anything to do with 92L as far as I can tell, but it looks ominous, if the model verifies over the next couple of days.

Anyone have any thoughts as to why GFS shows this genesis? Check out the 850MB vorticity loop at:
GFS MODEL LOOP

--------------------
Novice storm tracker / "Hurricane Junky". Have lived through: Jeanne, Charley, Elena, Ivan, too many T.S.'s to mention!

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
GFS Projections for Tampa Bay Area	04GTP	Tue Oct 04 2005 06:09 PM
Re: GFS Projections for Tampa Bay Area	CoalCracker	Tue Oct 04 2005 07:37 PM
Re: GFS Projections for Tampa Bay Area	Ben Wallace	Tue Oct 04 2005 09:55 PM

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