There is a low-midlevel swirl over the Yucitan, the split the NHC has been talking about,,,last night the blow up was over land with the midlevel circulation....the CDO caused a weak LLC within the midlevel low. Now that the land based T-Storms have come over water, they dissipated, like typical land based storms do. Now when the center emerges just N of cancun we will see if T-Storms refire near and east of the center. The western half is being dryed out with the upper low pushing dry air down into the Yucitan. As this ULL moves w slowly and the LLC moves NNE it will pull moiste air up on its eastern side. Currently nothing more then a TS could happen if anything does happen at all, but if the upper low weakens some and moves into the western gulf states then there might be enough time for it to strengthn more with ssts near 84dg.
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