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Archives 2000s >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: 93L
      Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM

tammy--going inland near jacksonville/brunswick. might be some t.s. winds along the immediate ga/ne fl coast. good bit of rain on the way, but the system is moving quickly enough that severe flooding is unlikely. it also hadn't rained here since august 30th, so the light rain outside here now is welcome.
93L--well, since tammy isn't looping out into the gulf like the models were generally progging, and the upper low out there isn't looking at all tropical, the energy is concentrating near the yucatan. there's been a good fetch off the pacific for a few days... stan was the benefactor, but now that stan is a surface trough along the mexican pacific coast the stuff is running across a little better. add to that the sharp wind shift from the easterly flow across the gulf and there's a really good convergence area. since the upper low is still backing westward, its diffluent effect should increase over this area.. even bring a little ridging in. should the system move nne ahead of the oncoming shortwave, there is a chance it could form a tropical cyclone and deepen baroclinically as it approaches western florida. still formative right now, but this could range from a rainy low to a solid tropical cyclone. older nogaps runs weren't showing it come up, so it could potentially meander ne or even stall over the gulf. when/if something more substantive shows up we'll have a better idea. the origin of this feature might actually be that disturbance that was on the pacific side of mexico from stan.. that it pulled inland over guatemala.
94L--yeah, why not. the eastern atlantic now has a very low latitude contribution, with healthy convergence and some ridging aloft. it's effectively sheltered from the deepening upper trough over the central atlantic.. for now. at that latitude, any development would be very slow due to weaker coriolis deflection.
near p.r.--nothing doing... the peristent convection in the region has puffed out. if there's any mid level vorticity in the mess it is tailing tammy nw.
former td 19/upper low--se of bermuda theres this amalgam of the upper low at the core of the deep trough in the atlantic, and the swirl from td 19 following it westward. since its trapped under the ridge and has a makeshift surface reflection, am wondering if it will try to dig down. also has the energy from that hybrid that earlier model runs were taking across.. or at least what didn't go into that low near the azores (which recently got a st 1.5 t-rating, but is not tropical).
there ya go, a follow-up to stan, maybe another, and the odd wildcard.
two more names and then we're speaking greek.
HF 1921z05october

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast MikeCAdministrator Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast lawgator   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Can't make sense of the data Rasvar   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Yikes   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast crpeavley   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast damejune2   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast CoalCracker   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast damejune2   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Colleen A.   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Jane219ga   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:55 PM
. * * quick HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:43 PM
. * * various thoughts Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:13 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:57 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:54 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Colleen A.   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Re: quick Yikes   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:10 PM
. * * Re: quick Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:01 PM
. * * Re: quick Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: quick HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: quick suziqt   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:50 PM
. * * Re: quick Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:24 PM
. * * Re: quick Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast charlottefl   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HCW   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast laureg   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast crpeavley   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast orlandocanewatcher   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HURRICANELONNY   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Tropics Guy   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast oklahoma   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast ZooKeeper   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:08 AM
. * * TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast LisaA   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast tpratch   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* jbmusic   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast tpratch   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:19 PM
. * * fun with follow-ons HanKFranK   Thu Oct 06 2005 02:20 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Susan in Jupiter, FL   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:56 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Random Chaos   Thu Oct 06 2005 06:31 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Hugh   Thu Oct 06 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Tracey   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast La Nimo   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Sarasota3G   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast ralphfl   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Fletch   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:13 AM
. * * 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:55 AM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: 93L Brad in Miami   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:40 AM
. * * Re: 93L CoalCracker   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:27 PM
. * * Re: 93L Goosus   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:18 PM
. * * Re: 93L MissBecky   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:17 PM
. * * Re: 93L dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:09 PM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:41 PM
. * * Re: 93L Ed in Va   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:00 PM
. * * Re: 93L ralphfl   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: 93L HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:45 AM
. * * Re: 93L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:54 AM
. * * Re: 93L Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:50 AM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L Steve H1   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: 93L Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: 93L rmbjoe1954   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:27 PM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:58 PM
. * * Re: 93L Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:05 PM
. * * Re: 90L Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: 90L MapMaster   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:27 PM
. * * Re: 90L HURRICANELONNY   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: 93L Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:05 PM
. * * Re: 94L HCW   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: 94L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L Rabbit   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM

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