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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
fun with follow-ons
      Thu Oct 06 2005 02:20 AM

forget all the early modeling was pushing our yucatan disturbance nne: the focus of that system has shifted east, south of cuba now. there's actually a good bit of convergence down there and the shear isn't as much as an issue... maybe that mid-level vorticity to the northwest will induce a surface feature there as well. if something stirs up it will be more of a bahamas issue, maybe southeast or east florida... but do the math in the long-run--if it develops and rides up ahead of the oncoming shortwave, it'll make an intensification run up the eastern seaboard. so yeah, big deal if it closes off. the eastern carolinas up to new england would be the endgame of such a system, so stay appraised.
94L may beat it to classification. the system has gotten incrementally further from the lowest latitudes and is in a modestly good environment with some improvement.. as the trough to the northwest will likely force ridging over the top of the weak system. this may be classified during thursday or friday.
watch the disturbed weather persistently firing near the center of the upper low that sits at the 24N51W in that upper trough axis. some globals favor a surface system developing there, and as long as it moves in tandem with the larger upper system it can continue to work the system downward in the atmosphere. if the convection keeps going as it has been, expect the TWO to start picking up on it tomorrow.
outside chance another low forms in the disturbed weather riding up east of tammy. minor model support for such a thing... with all the confused feedback in the models it's hard to know what to buy into.
HF 0620z06october

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast MikeCAdministrator Thu Oct 06 2005 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast lawgator   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Can't make sense of the data Rasvar   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Yikes   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast crpeavley   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast damejune2   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast CoalCracker   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast damejune2   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Colleen A.   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Jane219ga   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:55 PM
. * * quick HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:43 PM
. * * various thoughts Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:13 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:57 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:54 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts Colleen A.   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: various thoughts GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Re: quick Yikes   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:10 PM
. * * Re: quick Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:01 PM
. * * Re: quick Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: quick HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: quick suziqt   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:50 PM
. * * Re: quick Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:24 PM
. * * Re: quick Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast charlottefl   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HCW   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast laureg   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast crpeavley   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast orlandocanewatcher   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HURRICANELONNY   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast bobbutts   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Tropics Guy   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast oklahoma   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast ZooKeeper   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:08 AM
. * * TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: TD 19 Making a comeback? and the Stan Rainband Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast GuppieGrouper   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast LisaA   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast tpratch   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* jbmusic   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast tpratch   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:19 PM
. * * fun with follow-ons HanKFranK   Thu Oct 06 2005 02:20 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Susan in Jupiter, FL   Thu Oct 06 2005 04:56 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Random Chaos   Thu Oct 06 2005 06:31 AM
. * * Re: fun with follow-ons Hugh   Thu Oct 06 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Tracey   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Convergence   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast La Nimo   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Sarasota3G   Wed Oct 05 2005 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast ralphfl   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Fletch   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:13 AM
. * * 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:55 AM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: 93L Brad in Miami   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:40 AM
. * * Re: 93L CoalCracker   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:27 PM
. * * Re: 93L Goosus   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:18 PM
. * * Re: 93L MissBecky   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:17 PM
. * * Re: 93L dave foster   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:09 PM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:41 PM
. * * Re: 93L Ed in Va   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:00 PM
. * * Re: 93L ralphfl   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: 93L HanKFranK   Wed Oct 05 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:46 AM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:45 AM
. * * Re: 93L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:54 AM
. * * Re: 93L Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: 93L sara33   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:50 AM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L Steve H1   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: 93L Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: 93L rmbjoe1954   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:27 PM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:58 PM
. * * Re: 93L Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: 93L emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:05 PM
. * * Re: 90L Bloodstar   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: 90L MapMaster   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:27 PM
. * * Re: 90L HURRICANELONNY   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: 93L Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:05 PM
. * * Re: 94L HCW   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: 94L Big Kahuna   Wed Oct 05 2005 02:11 PM
. * * Re: 93L scottsvb   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L Rabbit   Wed Oct 05 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: 93L Beaumont, TX   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: 93L Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: 93L Genesis   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 05 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Tammy Forms off East Central Florida Coast Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM

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