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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Crossing Florida?
      Tue Oct 18 2005 07:35 AM

Good morning, all. I see the track has shifted back east. I'm beginning to get a feeling about Wilma. She's a high-maintenance girl.

Finally the NHC 5am disc acknowledged that the high over the GOM is still not going anywhere, despite the forecast; and then what does it do, but immediately start to move the last couple of hours, LOL, with corresponding movement from Wilma. None of the data on the Navy site seems to be very current so I can't find any scans to look at the banding under the convection, and it is a little hard for me to get a handle on where her center is, but since they mentioned the convection is more symmetric, it appears she may be a little N of the track points (which, btw, look like shades of Camille; thank goodness it isn't August and there's hardly any likelyhood of a northern track once rounded Cuba).

Now I think it is possible that Wilma is going to go higher than a Cat 3 in the Caribbean. This newest track is over some of the warmest deep waters that are left. However, NHC doesn't forecast this, and they know a lot more than I do, so we'll see, but I did see the word "intense" hurricane so I think that it's possible they're laying the ground for ramping up the intensity forecast, since they have a limited set of hurricane adjectives, at the NHC, and use them sparingly. Notice how the stupid frenzy over global warming, and short collective memory, has them throwing this kind of thing into the discussion:

"WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN INTENSE HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBEAN SEA...TYPICAL OF THOSE HURRICANES WHICH COMMONLY OCCURRED IN OCTOBER DURING THE 30'S 40'S AND 50'S. THIS IS NOTHING NEW."

And what they say is true. I remember my parents and grandparents talking about Hazel (well, she didn't form in the same place, but there were a lot of major hurricanes in the 40s and 50s, esp along the ATL coastline).

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 18 2005 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:43 PM
. * * Recon twizted sizter   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean weatherwatcher2   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Random Chaos   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:48 AM
. * * 1 AM EDT danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Multi-Decadal Signal   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update jlauderdal   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:19 AM
. * * Crossing Florida? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? LadyStorm   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? NewWatcher   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? HURRICANELONNY   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:37 AM
. * * Cause of potential FL hit tpratch   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:34 AM
. * * Re: Cause of potential FL hit Ed G   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? charlottefl   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:32 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? dave foster   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:45 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Hugh   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Cindi   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Steve H1   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:50 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Margie   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean The Force 2005   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Convergence   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean The Force 2005   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:50 AM
. * * teleconnected HanKFranK   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean floridafamily   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean cngodles   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Ron Basso   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean k___g   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean WeatherNut   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean MadDog   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean crpeavley   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean k___g   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Ben Wallace   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Dry Air Goosus   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Dry Air Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Jamiewx   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steeler Fan   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean JMII   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steeler Fan   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean emackl   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Wxwatcher2   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean GuppieGrouper   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:11 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Wingman51   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Clark   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean JonB   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean emackl   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean WeatherNut   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean gogogabby007   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean HURRICANELONNY   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Clark   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lysis   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Gerryla   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:52 PM
. * * SE Drift? and 10N 50W? Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Margie   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Margie   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Random Chaos   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:00 AM

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