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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Hurric- a reply
      Sun Oct 13 2002 10:41 PM

Here's what the TPC had to say at 9:00pm:

1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 14N82W MOVING NW 10 KTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED NE OF THE CENTER FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 77W-82W.

I would note that they say 14N 82W. If that's the case, then at least some of the models run this afternoon started out wrong. NW at 10 would also throw them off. I'm still thinking this thing isn't going to come flying out of there as fast as some thought. Also, the low that was (or is) to become a noreaster on the east coast isn't just going "to form" there, a low has broken off a wave in the bahama's and should get tangled with the cold front coming through the area. I mention that only to point out that some of the longer range models seem to have the right idea, but got some minor details wrong. At this point, most would point toward Cuba taking a shot of some kind and then out through the bahama's. But first we have to see a system get named, and the Key West forecast would lead you to believe we're not going to see one:

...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE SWRN
CARIBBEAN...WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON TUESDAY. THE DISTURBANCE OUGHT TO MERGE WITH ANOTHER SFC LOW TUESDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST...THEN ACCELERATE NE.

??????? Who knows why something moving NW at 10 would do what KW says? Maybe they have a pretty good handle on it. Your guess is as good as any of ours.

Joe in Jax
Won't even talk about the Jags. Bad weekend for North FLA football.............

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Golly Kyle MikeCAdministrator Sun Oct 13 2002 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle Stuart Dave   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:07 PM
. * * Temp Tangents Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents Steve H.   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents joepub1   Mon Oct 14 2002 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Oct 14 2002 08:27 PM
. * * never cut and dry HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:38 PM
. * * Re: never cut and dry HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:39 PM
. * * Invest 95L Possibilities Ed D at HRMC   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:24 PM
. * * Hey Joe GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:45 PM
. * * GARYC WXMAN RICHIE   Thu Oct 10 2002 09:25 PM
. * * kyle perks up a bit HanKFranK   Thu Oct 10 2002 10:11 PM
. * * Re: kyle perks up a bit joepub1   Thu Oct 10 2002 10:56 PM
. * * Kyle... Steve   Fri Oct 11 2002 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... Kevin   Fri Oct 11 2002 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... Steveunplugged   Fri Oct 11 2002 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... BabyCat   Fri Oct 11 2002 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Kyle... tom5r   Fri Oct 11 2002 12:19 PM
. * * trailer to kyle? HanKFranK   Fri Oct 11 2002 02:08 PM
. * * Time to look south joepub1   Fri Oct 11 2002 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Time to look south 57497479   Sat Oct 12 2002 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south Mary   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south 57497479   Sat Oct 12 2002 07:27 PM
. * * nhc test model runs on 95L Frank P   Sat Oct 12 2002 08:44 PM
. * * From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional Ed D at HRMC   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:27 PM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional Frank P   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:21 AM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional LoisCane   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:44 AM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:56 AM
. * * ack HanKFranK   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:26 PM
. * * Re: ack recmod   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: ack HanKFranK   Sun Oct 13 2002 11:36 AM
. * * Never count on a Field Goal LoisCane   Sun Oct 13 2002 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Never count on a Field Goal Hurric   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:40 PM
. * * Hurric- a reply joepub1   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:41 PM
. * * South Florida mentioned to stay alert WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:18 PM
. * * Re: South Florida mentioned to stay alert 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:52 PM
. * * after midnight HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:29 AM
. * * Re: South Florida mentioned to stay alert Steve H.   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:45 PM
. * * Re: South Florida watching after the Game:) LoisCane   Mon Oct 14 2002 01:20 AM
. * * NOTHING YET WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:10 AM
. * * Re: NOTHING YET joepub1   Mon Oct 14 2002 07:54 AM
. * * Runs on TD #14 garyb   Mon Oct 14 2002 09:23 AM
. * * STDS- here we go! Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: STDS- here we go! Mary K.   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:31 AM
. * * marco HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:43 AM
. * * Re: marco doug   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:13 PM
. * * Re: marco Steve H.   Mon Oct 14 2002 01:06 PM
. * * Re: marco Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:04 PM
. * * Re: marco Stuart Dave   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:14 PM
. * * Re: marco Brett   Mon Oct 14 2002 03:01 PM
. * * Re: marco matty   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:24 PM
. * * Re: marco sj7611   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:34 PM
. * * TD 14 (Marco?) Justin in Miami   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:51 PM
. * * Marco??? Richie at work   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:04 PM
. * * Marco??? Richie at work   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:02 PM
. * * Re: marco Justin in Miami   Mon Oct 14 2002 11:59 AM
. * * Re: STDS- here we go! meowmix12   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:40 AM
. * * slower development anon, keith   Sun Oct 13 2002 11:54 AM
. * * Re: slower development Darcy   Sun Oct 13 2002 12:39 PM
. * * Re: slower development anon keith   Sun Oct 13 2002 01:08 PM
. * * Kyle's remnants... Steve   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:54 AM
. * * Get well soon ED... Steve   Sun Oct 13 2002 02:34 AM
. * * NOTHING YET WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Oct 13 2002 07:49 AM
. * * WEST CARIBBEAN 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:18 AM
. * * Re: nhc test model runs on 95L joepub1   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Time to look south Steve H.   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south STUART DAVE   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:11 AM
. * * kyle passes the baton HanKFranK   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:21 AM
. * * Re: kyle passes the baton Mary K.   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Oct 12 2002 06:51 AM
. * * Here's the link... Steve   Fri Oct 11 2002 01:07 AM
. * * TROPICAL STORM AGAIN WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Oct 11 2002 04:43 AM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:42 PM
. * * A Kyle Update VolusiaMike   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:07 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update bill-bo   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:25 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:24 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:25 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:27 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update joepub1   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle Stuart Dave   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:03 PM
. * * Link to data Bouy Cocoa Beach   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle STUART DAVE   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle not-loged-in   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle VolusiaMike   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle LoisCane   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:15 PM
. * * cirrus blow off... LoisCane   Thu Oct 10 2002 12:05 PM

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