It's in...and Beta a little healthier than I had thought (991mb, 5deg temp diff, recon comment "good banding").
Revisiting Beta's convection woes...I think it is also the proximity of the tropical wave, affecting development, in a way that is not clearly visible on the satellite, since all wind interaction can't really be captured in that way (visible from sat imagery), and not just the shear.
Also that high that formed early this morning has gotten a little stronger (it is now around 16N74W), and that is what is pushing the easterlies into Beta and also keeping the convection from the tropical wave rotating away to the SE.
More and more chance of Beta moving N and just grazing Nic/Hon area.
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