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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 232 (Idalia) , Major: 232 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 232 (Idalia) Major: 232 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

ENSO
Sun Oct 30 2005 04:20 PM

if el nino was coming on it would have started in the summer.. just about always does. moot point that there's not going to be one this year. SOI, which is an indicator that leads ENSO has been strongly positive all october... it's just switching, but it would be camping negative for weeks on end in negative territory were the forcing for ocean warming the pacific in place. we've been en neutral to weak ENSO warm (moderate el nino in 2002, neutral in 2003, weak el nino in 2004, neutral in 2005). if anything we're due for la nina to come back around. note that even with a weak el nino circulation in 2004, we still had a very active season with multiple major hurricanes making landfall in the u.s. ENSO has to be quite strong to really affect the activity in the atlantic, especially since the AMO is cranking and ocean temperatures have been and should stay consistently above normal in much of the basin.
HF 2120z30october

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Ed Dunham	Sun Oct 30 2005 04:20 PM
November!	Doombot!	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:34 AM
Re: November!	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:58 AM
Re: November!	Lee-Delray	Tue Nov 01 2005 11:58 AM
Re: November!	Random Chaos	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:39 PM
Re: November!	Lee-Delray	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:45 PM
Re: November!	Tak	Tue Nov 01 2005 05:22 PM
Re: November!	Lee-Delray	Tue Nov 01 2005 05:30 PM
Re: November!	Tak	Tue Nov 01 2005 05:33 PM
Re: November! Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Lee-Delray	Tue Nov 01 2005 06:00 PM
Re: November!	Tak	Tue Nov 01 2005 06:12 PM
Re: November!	Margie	Wed Nov 02 2005 11:39 AM
Re: November!	Scrappy	Wed Nov 02 2005 05:12 PM
Re: November!	Margie	Thu Nov 03 2005 06:15 PM
Re: November!	NONAME	Thu Nov 03 2005 06:53 PM
Re: November!	NONAME	Thu Nov 03 2005 06:57 PM
Re: November!	NONAME	Wed Nov 02 2005 07:16 AM
Re: November!	Random Chaos	Wed Nov 02 2005 07:14 AM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Margie	Sun Oct 30 2005 01:17 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Old Sailor	Mon Oct 31 2005 07:30 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	SkeetoBite	Mon Oct 31 2005 08:17 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Beaumont, TX	Mon Oct 31 2005 09:14 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Lee-Delray	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:46 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	scottsvb	Tue Nov 01 2005 01:51 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 01 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	damejune2	Sun Oct 30 2005 02:38 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	the young weatherman	Sun Oct 30 2005 02:45 PM
ENSO	HanKFranK	Sun Oct 30 2005 04:20 PM
92L	Bloodstar	Sun Oct 30 2005 05:54 PM
The "Ls"	danielw	Sun Oct 30 2005 08:22 PM
Re: The "Ls"	Old Sailor	Sun Oct 30 2005 08:33 PM
Re: The "Ls"	danielw	Sun Oct 30 2005 09:45 PM
I am back from Wilma	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Oct 31 2005 08:43 AM
Re: I am back from Wilma	Margie	Mon Oct 31 2005 01:08 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	dave foster	Mon Oct 31 2005 07:23 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	Multi-Decadal Signal	Mon Oct 31 2005 08:46 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	dave foster	Mon Oct 31 2005 10:15 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	damejune2	Mon Oct 31 2005 06:59 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Mon Oct 31 2005 04:15 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	Psyber	Mon Oct 31 2005 04:23 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	Lee-Delray	Mon Oct 31 2005 04:48 PM
Re: I am back from Wilma	damejune2	Mon Oct 31 2005 07:02 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	typhoon_tip	Sun Oct 30 2005 12:26 PM
Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes	Margie	Sun Oct 30 2005 12:23 PM

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