yeah, there are some serious questions about just smacking the global warming label on everything bad that happens. folks that make up the tropical weather community generally *don't* subscribe to global warming as the answer for the last couple of years. they aren't really unprecedented either in terms of back to back bad seasons (check 1886-1887, 1932-1933, 1954-1955). factor in that we undoubtedly missed some storms in the official record that far back, and they could easily match the last couple of years' counts. people who blame global warming on every weather disaster have an agenda... which is a whole different can of worms. was just glancing around the basin, noticed that the little area of disturbed weather that'd been clinging to the colombian coast the last couple of days is seaworthy now, and has a little bit of convection/rotation associated with it. a lot of the region looks to be fairly stable and the shear profile is only mediocre, so i wouldn't expect much of anything. all the same, there it is, looking slightly alive. 95L may be more of the real deal as far as a developed system goes. should loop back to the south back towards the tropics later this week, perhaps losing its frontal profile and developing a warm core. clark explained the process better than i could earlier (he is training to be the authority on ET transition, after all). gamma's remnant is fairly vigorous... and the post analysis should track the remnant low for a day or two after the official unchristening of the storm. HF 1738z21november
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