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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Re: [Jaws music]
      Thu Jan 05 2006 01:23 PM

We can explain to a fair degree of accuracy and certainty why Zeta formed and how it is maintaining itself. It's in the predictability of these events -- both during and outside the actual hurricane season -- where we are still lacking. Progress is being made and getting these storms out of season is helping us in that effort.

As for extending the season, a "season" is designed to encompass the vast majority of all storms. Through our records, we have seen about 99.9% of all storms occur within the season, +/- 1 week on the ends. These systems are the exception to the rule and not storms that should be considered to extend the rule, in my opinion. While it's likely that, through history, we have seen more storms than are accounted for during these off-season months, the same holds true for during the season and the overall percentages are likely to be the same. And, to me, quite frankly, I don't think it's worth changing the season or naming protocol just for 1 out of every 1000 or so storms. Furthermore, having a list span two years would just create unnecessary confusion; there's already a little for Zeta's lifespan spanning two years. When dealing with these things, it's best to keep them as simple as possible.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark Thu Jan 05 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Lee-Delray   Thu Jan 05 2006 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Spoken   Tue Jan 03 2006 04:43 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! ltpat228   Tue Jan 03 2006 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Allison   Tue Jan 03 2006 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Lee-Delray   Tue Jan 03 2006 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! ltpat228   Tue Jan 03 2006 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! eduardo sanchez   Tue Jan 03 2006 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Tue Jan 03 2006 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Randrew   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark   Wed Jan 04 2006 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Wed Jan 04 2006 11:45 AM
. * * Zeta!?! danielwAdministrator   Wed Jan 04 2006 03:13 AM
. * * Re: Zeta!?! Margie   Wed Jan 04 2006 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Zeta!?! Clark   Wed Jan 04 2006 12:47 PM
. * * Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 Margie   Wed Jan 04 2006 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 04:17 AM
. * * Re: Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 04:25 AM
. * * Re: Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 eduardo sanchez   Wed Jan 04 2006 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 Margie   Wed Jan 04 2006 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Goodbye Zeta and, finally, 2005 Random Chaos   Wed Jan 04 2006 08:13 PM
. * * [Jaws music] Margie   Wed Jan 04 2006 09:09 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Clark   Thu Jan 05 2006 02:27 AM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Margie   Thu Jan 05 2006 11:48 AM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Frog   Thu Jan 05 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Margie   Thu Jan 05 2006 01:57 PM
. * * Are we there yet? Margie   Thu Jan 05 2006 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Are we there yet? Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Are we there yet? eduardo sanchez   Thu Jan 05 2006 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Are we there yet? Frog   Thu Jan 05 2006 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Are we there yet? Lee-Delray   Thu Jan 05 2006 04:57 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 04:31 AM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Frog   Thu Jan 05 2006 06:03 AM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Randrew   Thu Jan 05 2006 10:37 AM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Clark   Thu Jan 05 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Domino   Thu Jan 05 2006 05:06 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Clark   Thu Jan 05 2006 05:26 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Frog   Thu Jan 05 2006 06:52 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Clark   Thu Jan 05 2006 08:24 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] HanKFranK   Thu Jan 05 2006 11:12 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Not Logged MM   Fri Jan 06 2006 11:28 AM
. * * Brazilian Blob Randrew   Fri Jan 06 2006 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Brazilian Blob HanKFranK   Fri Jan 06 2006 02:03 PM
. * * 2005 Hurricane Season Almost OVER! Storm Hunter   Fri Jan 06 2006 03:28 PM
. * * Ok, everybody...big collective sigh! Margie   Fri Jan 06 2006 03:51 PM
. * * Interesting Season Randrew   Fri Jan 06 2006 04:42 PM
. * * Re: [Jaws music] Random Chaos   Wed Jan 04 2006 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Tue Jan 03 2006 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Randrew   Tue Jan 03 2006 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Tue Jan 03 2006 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Doombot!   Sun Jan 01 2006 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! HanKFranK   Sun Jan 01 2006 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Sun Jan 01 2006 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Mon Jan 02 2006 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Mon Jan 02 2006 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark   Mon Jan 02 2006 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Goosus   Tue Jan 03 2006 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! UKCloudgazer   Tue Jan 03 2006 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Jan 02 2006 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! emackl   Fri Dec 30 2005 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! ChessieStorm   Fri Dec 30 2005 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Jenny   Fri Dec 30 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! eduardo sanchez   Fri Dec 30 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Frog   Sat Dec 31 2005 05:56 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! *DELETED* eduardo sanchez   Sat Dec 31 2005 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Sat Dec 31 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! HanKFranK   Sat Dec 31 2005 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Sat Dec 31 2005 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! HanKFranK   Sat Dec 31 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark   Sun Jan 01 2006 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Doombot!   Sun Jan 01 2006 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! eduardo sanchez   Sun Jan 01 2006 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Rich B   Sun Jan 01 2006 06:47 AM
. * * Modern Marvels TDW   Sun Jan 01 2006 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Sun Jan 01 2006 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark   Fri Dec 30 2005 10:08 PM
. * * Zeta, we hardly knew ya Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Clark   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Multi-Decadal Signal   Sat Dec 31 2005 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! ltpat228   Sat Dec 31 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Hugh   Sat Dec 31 2005 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! eduardo sanchez   Sat Dec 31 2005 05:25 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Happy New Year -- from Zeta!?! CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Dec 30 2005 12:45 PM

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