Checking the regional Fire Weather for the SE US. I came across this tidbit from the Friday, March 3rd forecast.
"7. Tropical Weather Summary. No Activity. With 3 months th the official start of the 2006 Hurricane season, tropical Atlantic temperatures currently range 0.5 to 1.5 degrees above average. Surface Caribbean water temperatures are now at the threshold temperature of 80 degrees, with only slight above average anomalies."
Using today's (6MAR06) SST analysis from NLMOC. The Caribbean (South of 25.0N), is at or above 26C or 79F. The GOM has a much broader range. From 17C (63F) in the Cedar Key area, to a high of 26C (79F) in the Yucatan Channel/ GOM Loop Current area. That area is currently, south of 25.0N and between 84.5 and 88.5W. (following link gives updated SSTs)~danielw http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/center/Oceans/Gulf_Stream/gulf02.gif
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