Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995

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well it's a few minutes after midnight edt on the east coast, june 1st. pardon the exclamation point in the subject line, because things aren't exactly looking scary. 'it' might not really be on until august (doubt this year in particular, but a first storm in august isn't unprecedented in above-average seasons, see 1950, 1988, 2000, 2004)..

you guys are being a little hard on Accuweather... yeah, i don't see any attempt to do things the scientific way and put their work into a reputable journal, defend it, and so forth... but they're really newsies, like the weather channel, and like all media they front stuff that sells, even if it would have major credibility holes to a consummate researcher. some of their forecasters are pretty good too, and i trust their instincts to a degree, i.e. bastardi. they've forgotten more about weather than most folks will ever learn. yeah, they err on the fox side of things more often than not (hype, right-leaning), but it isn't really any worse than the folks trying to sell some of the wackier theories about human influence on hurricane activity (see kerry emanuel & co., or maybe guppie just now...jet fuel and bomb testing, heh...). i really worry that even the supposedly scientifically pure publications some journals are putting out are more than just an attempt at cutting edge research, but a supporting broadcast of the same environmental agenda that the rest of the mass media sans fox (hype, left-leaning) is not so discreetly trying to push.

oh yeah, this isn't supposed to be an op-ed; let me see if i can salvage some credibility and dodge the scandal:
we're on hurricane downtime, as is common early in the season. the forum rules about posting stuff in the correct places will be enforced more loosely at times like these (though ed, the original moderator here, tends to write tickets rather than issue warnings all the time, trustworthy is he). keep the topics close enough to current weather and relevant issues with tropical weather and its implications for people, and it will work well in this forum. people will read what you say and respond, and the conversation will be good. mike and john insist on no cussing and no attacking, and that will apply to everyone. learn to be a smart-alec or have a sense of humor; there will be no jerry springer-level interaction on this site. unless you're way over the top or horribly offenisve (take for instance, a certain la nimo), we'll just talk to you and ask you to tone it down. that's the way we prefer to do things, and it makes us feel good as moderators when everybody chooses to get along. otherwise it can get kind of depressing. it doesn't ever have to be that way.

this is the main board and while it is supposed to focus on current storm activity and the happenings around them, other material invariably appears here. sometimes we'll delete or graveyard a post when it has serious problems, but much of the time a post will be dropped into a more appropriate forum. sometimes a moderator will ask you to change something if your post is really good but has some little problem. many times we'll do nothing at all. try to reply to posts that you're sure belong in the forum, as sometimes reply posts get dragged off with legitimate ones. since it's been buzzworthy lately i'll reference it--the number of lovebugs splattered on your windshield is not a good topic. the drought in florida, and how historically spring droughts and fall hurricane activity might correspond, is. dyno-gel and aliens controlling the weather might get a lot of responses, but that does not make them good post topics.

so, for those of you who have been here before, welcome back, and for those of you who are new, welcome to CFHC. it's a pretty danged good forum for tropical weather... or at least we try to make it one.
later everybody,
HF 0545z01june

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