HankFrank, Clark and Daniel, What are you thoughts on the surface low in the Carribean. It looks to me like the ridge pumped up by TD 2-E has progressed slowly east toward the Carribean according to the satellite data. Still, the upper pattern is out of the West at this time, which is a no go for the West Carribean at the moment. Moisture wise, I also notice that this is increasing in the area. Meanwhile, the southern gulf upper air is very dry, but upstream in New MX and Arizona it looks a litte more moist. While a strong upper level cut-off low is ongoing over Ohio and the eastern states, the upper pattern in the tropics and subtropics seem to be goin into a zonal flow across the Penninsula of Florida. A tenacious surface low always causes me to sceptically lean into pro-tropical development, which is a change from last night, so I'm eying the downstream weather at this point. With that said, I definately wouldn't put a lot of chips on the table during a game of "tropical development poker". I just think some of the observations merit a second look. If anything develops, I wouldn't personally anticipate anything more than an Arlene type system either way (very weak system but not necissarily FL panhandle bound). However, was wondering about your opinion. Let me know what you think.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 25567
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center