Yeah, I have to agree Clark. That upper level low is stronger than I expected and seems to have slipped farther south. The upstream flow doesn't seem that moist anymore, even if the upper level low was to back off a nudge. As for that ridge, it has grown pretty narow and I would lean more toward development of anything to happen within the Gulf of Tuantapec on the Pacific side now. Which, just happens to go a little more along the lines of climo anyway. Either way, if that system fires off, the surface low in the Carribean is really to close and I think that would be the kill all for anyhting happenning there.Which is pretty cool with me! :-) Anyhow, this upper level low has pretty much been a semi-permanant feature in the east coast states this spring. Unfortunately...creating a wet to flooding wet spring in New England. In a more perfect world they wouldn't get flooding there, and it would be great to see it last all summer. That's just the kind of trough we need to keep Florida and the east coast safer all year. East coast upper level low is to east coast hurricane hits as the Great Wall of China is to enemy invasion. It would be our greatest defense if it could last.
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