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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

Re: Carribean...and midwest???!
Wed Jun 07 2006 01:49 AM

our june noreaster near deepening near hatteras right now is over marginal ssts and deriving much of its energy from baroclinic processes. all that convection blooming near the center sure would make it interesting if it were forecast to sit there, but it should spend the rest of the week drenching new england.
big plume of convection is running out ahead of it. if something were running into it right now it would be cranking, but nothing there. around central america is a huge convoluted mess. an east-west oriented upper ridge is right under the base of the deep trough in the eastern u.s., running a jet between 20-30N that is pretty much zapping everything.. not to mention a continental air mass dominates the gulf. several have quoted the musings by forecasters about low pressure trying to develop somewhere between the extreme western caribbean and the monsoon trough-like feature extending south of mexico. something ought to try to form in here, but hard to say what, where, and which models have the right idea about its evolution. until something takes over, hard to say what it'll try to do. as long as the trough remains in the east something could try coming up, especially as the atlantic ridge builds back in and starts forcing low level moisture northward. proximity to land should keep things weak, and getting something to cross from the pacific would be quite a chore.
that mcc that is currently diving through louisiana was up in nebraska on monday afternoon. it's made it quite far and held together well. unlikely it can survive in the sheared/dry environment it's embedded in. impressive little oddball though.
still have a weak hunch on that wave entering the caribbean circa june 13. it's still coherent in the gfs runs. time will tell.
HF 0649z07june

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	MikeC	Wed Jun 07 2006 01:49 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	typhoon_tip	Sun Jun 04 2006 09:13 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	dem05	Mon Jun 05 2006 12:33 AM
Carribean...	dem05	Mon Jun 05 2006 01:27 AM
Re: Carribean...	Clark	Mon Jun 05 2006 07:30 PM
Re: Carribean...	dem05	Tue Jun 06 2006 01:34 AM
Re: Carribean...	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 06 2006 03:41 AM
Re: Carribean...	MikeC	Tue Jun 06 2006 01:51 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	MapMaster	Tue Jun 06 2006 03:29 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	Storm Hunter	Tue Jun 06 2006 04:12 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	SoFlA1A	Tue Jun 06 2006 05:28 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	dem05	Tue Jun 06 2006 11:53 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	HanKFranK	Wed Jun 07 2006 01:49 AM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	Rinalda	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:59 AM
Excerpts	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:02 AM
Re: Interpolations	MapMaster	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:16 AM
Re: Interpolations	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:33 AM
Re: E of Bahamas	MapMaster	Wed Jun 07 2006 01:27 PM
Re: E of Bahamas	Jenny	Wed Jun 07 2006 01:54 PM
Re: E of Bahamas	MapMaster	Wed Jun 07 2006 02:41 PM
93e	NewWatcher	Wed Jun 07 2006 02:58 PM
Re: 93e	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 03:14 PM
Re: 93e	hobblehead	Wed Jun 07 2006 05:15 PM
Re: 93e	visage	Wed Jun 07 2006 05:47 PM
Re: 93e	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Wed Jun 07 2006 05:55 PM
More Discussion Excerpts	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:25 PM
Re: 93e	brassy	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:19 PM
Possible Development	00cj	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:25 PM
Re: Possible Development	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:31 PM
Re: Possible Development	Storm Hunter	Wed Jun 07 2006 08:11 PM
Re: Possible Development	Storm Cooper	Wed Jun 07 2006 08:52 PM
Re: Possible Development	Storm Hunter	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:10 PM
Re: Possible Development	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:43 PM
Re: Possible Development	Clark	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:59 PM
Re: Possible Development	Storm Cooper	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:35 PM
Re: Possible Development	wereallgonnadie	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:48 PM
Re: Possible Development	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Wed Jun 07 2006 09:57 PM
Re: Possible Development	Clark	Wed Jun 07 2006 10:03 PM
Re: Possible Development	Storm Hunter	Wed Jun 07 2006 10:15 PM
Re: Possible Development	Margie	Wed Jun 07 2006 10:38 PM
Re: Possible Development	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:12 AM
Re: Possible Development	Major7	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:28 AM
Models	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:02 AM
Re: Models	Hugh	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:10 AM
Re: Models	twiztedsizterII	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:57 AM
Re: Models	twiztedsizterII	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:01 AM
90L	NewWatcher	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:10 AM
I don't believe it	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:57 AM
90L	NewWatcher	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:56 AM
Re: 90L	MapMaster	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:11 AM
Re: 90L	Storm Hunter	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:31 AM
Re: 90L	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:43 AM
Re: 90L	MapMaster	Thu Jun 08 2006 12:03 PM
Re: Models	HanKFranK	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:02 AM
Re: Models	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:10 AM
Re: Possible Development	danielw	Wed Jun 07 2006 08:50 PM
Re: Carribean...and midwest???!	Nateball	Wed Jun 07 2006 07:45 AM
NC/SC Coast	zacros	Tue Jun 06 2006 07:33 PM
Re: Carribean...	amonty	Mon Jun 05 2006 10:52 AM
Re: Carribean...	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Mon Jun 05 2006 11:20 AM
Re: Carribean...	doug	Mon Jun 05 2006 12:26 PM
Re: Carribean...	Storm Cooper	Mon Jun 05 2006 02:53 PM
Re: Carribean...	Lost	Mon Jun 05 2006 03:01 PM
Re: Carribean...	Storm Cooper	Mon Jun 05 2006 01:37 PM
Re: ST development	MapMaster	Mon Jun 05 2006 01:49 PM
Re: ST development	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Mon Jun 05 2006 01:50 PM
Re: ST development	Storm Cooper	Mon Jun 05 2006 02:11 PM
Re: ST development	MapMaster	Mon Jun 05 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Carribean...	Lee-Delray	Mon Jun 05 2006 11:07 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	AgnesOfHell	Thu Jun 01 2006 10:51 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	wereallgonnadie	Thu Jun 01 2006 09:51 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Steve H1	Thu Jun 01 2006 10:28 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Storm Hunter	Thu Jun 01 2006 10:52 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Cindi	Fri Jun 02 2006 07:19 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 01 2006 11:05 PM
watch this	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 02 2006 12:43 AM
Re: watch this	EDU	Fri Jun 02 2006 06:45 PM
Friday Afternoon TWD	danielw	Fri Jun 02 2006 07:59 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	Margie	Fri Jun 02 2006 08:25 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	John C	Fri Jun 02 2006 08:31 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	Storm Cooper	Fri Jun 02 2006 08:33 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	danielw	Fri Jun 02 2006 09:37 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	Margie	Fri Jun 02 2006 10:50 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon TWD	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 03 2006 07:34 PM
Stereo Storms	danielw	Sat Jun 03 2006 08:28 PM
Re: Stereo Storms	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jun 03 2006 09:34 PM
Re: Stereo Storms	danielw	Sat Jun 03 2006 09:44 PM
Re: Stereo Storms	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 03 2006 11:53 PM
Re: Stereo Storms	SirCane	Sun Jun 04 2006 12:03 AM
Re: Stereo Storms	dem05	Sun Jun 04 2006 12:21 AM
Rainfall	danielw	Sun Jun 04 2006 01:46 AM
Re: Rainfall	dem05	Sun Jun 04 2006 04:03 AM
Re: Rainfall	Storm Hunter	Sun Jun 04 2006 09:46 AM
Re: Rainfall	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Jun 04 2006 12:53 PM
Re: Rainfall	ticka1	Sun Jun 04 2006 01:20 PM
Re: Rainfall	00cj	Sun Jun 04 2006 07:01 PM
west carib system	HanKFranK	Sun Jun 04 2006 02:13 AM
Re: west carib system	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jun 04 2006 09:05 PM
Friday Afternoon-Caribbean Discussion	danielw	Fri Jun 02 2006 10:21 PM
Re: Friday Afternoon-HPC Discussions	danielw	Fri Jun 02 2006 10:35 PM
Re: watch this	Hootowl	Fri Jun 02 2006 08:45 AM
Re: Out by the Azores	broncostorm	Fri Jun 02 2006 12:21 PM
Re: Out by the Azores	Hootowl	Fri Jun 02 2006 02:47 PM
Re: Wind Shear	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 02 2006 02:56 PM
Re: Wind Shear	Steve	Fri Jun 02 2006 03:52 PM
Re: Out by the Azores	Storm Hunter	Fri Jun 02 2006 01:35 PM
Re: watch this	doug	Fri Jun 02 2006 08:34 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Clark	Thu Jun 01 2006 05:23 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Storm Hunter	Thu Jun 01 2006 06:25 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 01 2006 06:39 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Rich B	Thu Jun 01 2006 06:42 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:41 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Thirdcoast	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:51 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	doug	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:24 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Storm Hunter	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:32 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:38 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Storm Hunter	Thu Jun 01 2006 07:19 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	orangejack	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:31 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	vvvteddybearvvv	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:35 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Margie	Thu Jun 01 2006 08:00 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	lost	Thu Jun 01 2006 09:36 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Margie	Thu Jun 01 2006 11:51 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Genesis	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:13 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Margie	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:29 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	vonkamp	Thu Jun 01 2006 03:31 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	charlottefl	Thu Jun 01 2006 03:51 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Wingman51	Thu Jun 01 2006 05:00 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	HURRICANELONNY	Thu Jun 01 2006 01:12 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Rich B	Thu Jun 01 2006 01:15 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Steve	Thu Jun 01 2006 01:36 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Rich B	Thu Jun 01 2006 01:31 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Margie	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:49 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Beaumont, TX	Thu Jun 01 2006 03:10 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Ed in Va	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:04 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	gailwarning	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:23 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Allison	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:43 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	ftlaudbob	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:38 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Scrappy	Thu Jun 01 2006 02:36 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	Major7	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:05 PM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	AgentB	Thu Jun 01 2006 11:39 AM
Re: The 2006 Hurricane Season Begins	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 01 2006 12:21 AM

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