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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: Great Lakes

Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance
Thu Jun 08 2006 01:18 PM

Focus is still on the EPac as of right now. There is a weak center of circulation over the Yucatan Peninsula right now, though that impressive convective flare-up to its west is only marginally associated with that feature. Instead, it is associated with upper-level diffluence as the upper-level trough over the SE US slides a bit further southward. WV imagery indicates a developing upper-level low along that trough in the vicinity of the convection; that's certainly not favorable for any sort of tropical development. Another surge of dry air is sliding through the central Gulf of Mexico now and is encroaching upon the Bay of Campeche. Simply put, I don't think anything tropical can get going in that sort of environment. Things can change, however, and we'll watch it.

The feature in the EPac isn't as impressive in terms of a convective flare-up right now, but it does have a center of circulation -- see http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dataimages21/cur_hires/zooms/WMBas64.png -- and the flow through the pass in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec is only adding to the circulation along the west side of the feature. What convection is there is much more organized than in the Atlantic and the shear is not nearly as large of a factor. My thinking as of now is that something there develops but doesn't move a whole lot over the next few days, while nothing significant gets going in the Atlantic basin for now. Might get an inverted trough or a very weak area of low pressure sliding into the Bay of Campeche/western Gulf, but bona fide tropical development? Ehhh...

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Western Caribbean Disturbance	MikeC	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thomas Giella	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	flanewscameraman	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:05 AM
presence	HanKFranK	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:31 AM
Re: presence	Bloodstar	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:05 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:19 AM
Re: presence	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:59 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:45 PM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:20 AM
Re: presence	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:48 AM
Re: presence	scottsvb	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 AM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:07 AM
TD One forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dolfinatic	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:13 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:20 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Stormwatch' Dan	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doc	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:05 PM
Recon	ltpat228	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:55 PM
Re: center of circulation	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:54 PM
Re: center of circulation	Old Sailor	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:49 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	blizzardnut	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:23 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:21 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	FlaMommy	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	EDU	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:07 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ftlaudbob	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:37 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thunderbird12	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:01 PM
Western Caribbean Disturbance	rmbjoe1954	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Geoff	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:48 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	poolwatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:51 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Sheeper	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:35 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:52 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:13 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Here we go again	Rasvar	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	amonty	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	cieldumort	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:31 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:36 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	SirCane	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:41 PM
uh oh	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:53 AM
Re: uh oh	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:18 AM
Re: uh oh	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 AM
Re: uh oh	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:59 AM
Re: uh oh	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:02 AM
Re: uh oh	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:13 AM
Re: uh oh	Hootowl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:29 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:54 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:28 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	NewWatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:41 AM
take	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:29 AM
Re: take	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 AM
Website URL	Cocoa Beach	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:15 AM
Re: Website URL	abyrd	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Website URL	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:35 AM
Re: Website URL	Nateball	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:24 AM
Re: Website URL	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:59 AM
Recon & TWD	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:36 AM
Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 AM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:08 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	amonty	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	00cj	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:20 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:51 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:17 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
HankFrank's wave emerges?	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:59 PM
Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:22 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	CoalCracker	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:47 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:04 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:15 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	reedzone	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	JOC	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Kevin	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Gary83	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Genesis	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:01 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:08 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:18 PM

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