Hey guys, well it looks like we have our first contender for Alberto this year. The NHC says that the low centre is inland over the eastern Yucatan, which incidentally is where most forecast models predicted it to be. However, it is forecast to move off to the north or northwest generally, and into the GOM. Given the convective activity associated with the disturbance at present it could have a shot if the centre moved offshore. The question is whether it can hold on to the convection until such time as it moves offshore. The one thing it has got going for it is persistence, and it has been around for a few days now! Certainly worth watching over the next few days...
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