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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

take
Fri Jun 09 2006 09:29 AM

the spread of models is now mostly northward for the next 2-3 days. pretty much every one, most runs, are showing a weak tropical system crossing north florida around next tuesday. the nogaps and euro don't track a very coherent system, but really blow it up in a baroclinic drive up the east coast. they're taking it close enough to the carolina coast, cape cod, and nova scotia for some bad weather at least. the timing of all this is questionable as models vary in how far nnw the system originally wanders, whether it's very organized or not, and where it is initialized. the consensus for now looks as good a forecast as any.
i don't expect it will consolidate today. perhaps get better organized, cause a special statement or something. by tomorrow the upper vorticity max currently ne of the system will have dropped further southwest and begun breaking off from the trough... which is shown weakening and lifting over the next few days. some ridging should build in... dependent on where the system chooses to consolidate, it could get into just the right place and develop a good outflow jet streak around its northern semicircle.
regardless of whether the system forms, it looks like parts of florida may be in for a droughbuster rain going into next week. dependent on how it plays out, whether it pumps the ridge and causes the pattern to amplify some, it could also make a run up the east coast, transitioning into another noreaster.
still some oddball model runs (nam) insisting on nw movement. that isn't impossible although becoming increasingly unlikely. the system appears to be setting up show east of the yucatan, and that's where i reckon it'll stay.
HF 1430z09june

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Western Caribbean Disturbance	MikeC	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:29 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thomas Giella	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	flanewscameraman	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:05 AM
presence	HanKFranK	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:31 AM
Re: presence	Bloodstar	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:05 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:19 AM
Re: presence	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:59 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:45 PM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:20 AM
Re: presence	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:48 AM
Re: presence	scottsvb	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 AM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:07 AM
TD One forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dolfinatic	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:13 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:20 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Stormwatch' Dan	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doc	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:05 PM
Recon	ltpat228	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:55 PM
Re: center of circulation	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:54 PM
Re: center of circulation	Old Sailor	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:49 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	blizzardnut	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:23 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:21 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	FlaMommy	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	EDU	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:07 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ftlaudbob	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:37 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thunderbird12	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:01 PM
Western Caribbean Disturbance	rmbjoe1954	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Geoff	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:48 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	poolwatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:51 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Sheeper	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:35 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:52 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:13 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Here we go again	Rasvar	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	amonty	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	cieldumort	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:31 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:36 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	SirCane	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:41 PM
uh oh	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:53 AM
Re: uh oh	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:18 AM
Re: uh oh	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 AM
Re: uh oh	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:59 AM
Re: uh oh	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:02 AM
Re: uh oh	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:13 AM
Re: uh oh	Hootowl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:29 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:54 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:28 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	NewWatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:41 AM
take	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:29 AM
Re: take	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 AM
Website URL	Cocoa Beach	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:15 AM
Re: Website URL	abyrd	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Website URL	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:35 AM
Re: Website URL	Nateball	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:24 AM
Re: Website URL	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:59 AM
Recon & TWD	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:36 AM
Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 AM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:08 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	amonty	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	00cj	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:20 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:51 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:17 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
HankFrank's wave emerges?	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:59 PM
Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:22 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	CoalCracker	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:47 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:04 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:15 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	reedzone	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	JOC	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Kevin	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Gary83	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Genesis	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:01 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:08 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:18 PM

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