usually the global models dont really grasp a tropical systems strength...at first when it shows a storm around 1008mb....its generally around that..but once it gets a couple days ahead the readings are generally off. Like systems of the past...the GFS will show 1000mb low in the eastern gulf in 3 days....but could be near 987mb or a system showing 980mb 4 days out might really end up being 954mb...the thing is they are not accurate and usually underestimate the pressure...the GFDL model is one of the better models for intensity..but lacks consistancy from run to run on strength.
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