imminent tropical cyclone now. the system is still elongated and its center broad. during the evening hours i would not be surprised if a primary takes over somewhere near 17/84. initial movement should be erratic, then north-northwestward. i'd expect this to be alberto tomorrow. it will likely struggle with southwesterly shear during its entire lifetime, but may intensify in spurts. down the road the majority model opinion is a crossing of northern florida. since this will likely be a lopsided system with all of its weather east of the system, the west coast of florida and the peninsula are most likely to receive tropical cyclone conditions, even if the storm ends up moving to the panhandle or central gulf coast, much of the weather will still likely be in florida. immediately upon its development watches may should up in the lower keys. based on the type of shear conditions it will encounter, the system has a better chance to be stronger the further east it stays. a landfall up in apalachicola would probably be a depression or weak tropical storm... the upper peninsula likely a moderate tropical storm. something in southwest florida could be stronger. ssts, time, and shear conditions should keep the upper potential around category 1. tentative timing for arrival of this system is monday, june 12. HF 2244z09june
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 25370
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center