Focus on that Southwestern portion you mentioned...That's where the real show may take place. As far as movement...We lost the avdantage of visable pictures with sunset...so theres no way to definatively say Stationary, nnw, n, of a tad east of north. With that said, the latest NHC outlook is out and it refrences the possibility of a tropical storm watch/warning could be issued for western cuba spontainiously...but still no TD. I know you all know where to get the outlook, but here it is for convinience...
000 ABNT20 KNHC 100209 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI JUN 09 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN HONDURAS AND WESTERN CUBA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BRINGING SQUALLS AND ADDITIONAL RAINS TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF CUBA. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. BECAUSE DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR NEAR CUBA AT ANY TIME ON SATURDAY...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.
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