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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

Bloodstar
Moderator

Reged: Mon
Posts: 395
Loc: Georgia Tech

Re: presence
Sat Jun 10 2006 05:05 AM

hmmm, 5am and it's not a depression yet, and frankly I don't
blame them for not upgrading it. The system still looks very
disorganized with most of the convection firing up to the
northand east of the low pressure center. T-numbers
are holding at 1.5 as well. so no additional organiaztion
indicated from that tool.

(do find it interesting that the pressure is down to
1005 Mb. There's the chance that they could
end up going straight to TS status if the system
remains disorganized)

Interestingly enough, the LLC still seems to be heading NW
to NNW, which could run it right into that high velocity wind
band just to the north of the center. (from 87.5W 20N
to 80W 25N) though it looks like the system is starting
to push that jet north.

Also interesting is the new band of convection firing to the
south of the system. While it's located some distance from
the LLC, it wouldn't take much to organize that into a feeder
band and help crank the system up into a full blown TD.
There is a LLC, but with the Midlevel concentration still
not co-aligned, it's going to take a while for the system
to get together. (though the northern convection could be
enough to push the system over the edge, once it
gets any sort of convection over the center.

As far as where it's going to go? well, if the door opens
as the models predict, the system will slowly take its
NNW movement and shift N then NNE then NE.

THe models are tending to show a land fall anywhere from
3 - 6 days out anywhere from the pandhandle to Tampa.
Except the UK, which tends to weaken the feature and
send it towards the Texas Coast. Nogaps also seems
to be losing the feature entirely, but pulls up a strong
low pressure to appear on the atlantic coast near JAX
after losing the system.

Don't see any thing new on the next week. so all eyes
are focused.

-Mark

--------------------
TD/TS/HU/MH
19/18/0905 <- My prediction (2013 Predictions)
00/00/00/00 <- Year Totals

http://blog.bloodstar.org

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Western Caribbean Disturbance	MikeC	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:05 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thomas Giella	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	flanewscameraman	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:05 AM
presence	HanKFranK	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:31 AM
Re: presence	Bloodstar	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:05 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:19 AM
Re: presence	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:59 AM
Re: presence	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:45 PM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:20 AM
Re: presence	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:48 AM
Re: presence	scottsvb	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 AM
Re: presence	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:07 AM
TD One forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dolfinatic	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:13 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:20 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Stormwatch' Dan	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doc	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:05 PM
Recon	ltpat228	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:55 PM
Re: center of circulation	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:42 PM
Re: center of circulation	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:54 PM
Re: center of circulation	Old Sailor	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:45 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:49 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	blizzardnut	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:23 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Cat 5orBust	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:44 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:21 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	FlaMommy	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	EDU	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:07 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:25 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ftlaudbob	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:37 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:42 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Thunderbird12	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:01 PM
Western Caribbean Disturbance	rmbjoe1954	Fri Jun 09 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:57 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Geoff	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:40 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:48 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	poolwatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	jspet4	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:51 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	score42288	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Sheeper	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:35 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:52 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:13 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	sara33	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Here we go again	Rasvar	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:18 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	amonty	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	cieldumort	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:31 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:36 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	ShanaTX	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:50 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	SirCane	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:03 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rich B	Thu Jun 08 2006 06:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	GuppieGrouper	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:11 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 08:43 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Clark	Thu Jun 08 2006 11:41 PM
uh oh	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 05:53 AM
Re: uh oh	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:18 AM
Re: uh oh	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:40 AM
Re: uh oh	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 07:59 AM
Re: uh oh	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:02 AM
Re: uh oh	Lee-Delray	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:13 AM
Re: uh oh	Hootowl	Fri Jun 09 2006 06:29 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	00cj	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:02 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:54 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:34 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	MichaelA	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:28 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Ed in Va	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:30 AM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	NewWatcher	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:41 AM
take	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:29 AM
Re: take	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 AM
Website URL	Cocoa Beach	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:15 AM
Re: Website URL	abyrd	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Website URL	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:35 AM
Re: Website URL	Nateball	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:24 AM
Re: Website URL	Margie	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:59 AM
Recon & TWD	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:36 AM
Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 11:41 AM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:08 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	amonty	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	00cj	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:20 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:47 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:51 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	wxman007	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	Jenny	Fri Jun 09 2006 01:59 PM
Re: Let the fun begin....	scottsvb	Fri Jun 09 2006 02:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	danielw	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:17 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 08 2006 10:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 09:16 PM
HankFrank's wave emerges?	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:10 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Rabbit	Thu Jun 08 2006 02:59 PM
Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:02 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:22 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	CoalCracker	Thu Jun 08 2006 03:47 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Margie	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:04 PM
Re: Hurricane-Resistant Panels	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 08 2006 05:15 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	doug	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:14 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Thu Jun 08 2006 01:09 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	reedzone	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:24 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	JOC	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:53 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Kevin	Fri Jun 09 2006 08:59 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:33 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:12 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	dem05	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:30 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Gary83	Fri Jun 09 2006 09:56 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	hurricane_run	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:16 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Genesis	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:01 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	Hugh	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:05 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	madmumbler	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:08 PM
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance	twizted sizter	Fri Jun 09 2006 10:18 PM

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