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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

MikeC
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 2779
Loc: Orlando, FL

First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms
Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 AM

10:30 PM Update
Tropcial Depression #1 is still a depression, and the forecast takes it just south of the big bend of Florida. Also the current intensity forecast has it arriving as a weak to moderate tropical storm. Mainly because a high amount of southwesterly shear exists.

A tropical storm watch for western central Florida and north toward the big bend may occur early as tomorrow morning.

Original Update
Tropical Depression One has formed. Advisories have been issued.

This system is still not poised to strengthen too much quickly, at least now. Most of the convection is on the eastern side of the storm, which means Florida will likely see more rain from it. Models are still not all that reliable as to future location, but Cuba and the Southeaster Gulf will want to watch it.

The current official forecast takes the system near Cedar Key (north of Tampa and south of the big bend). However, the hurricane center states that the track is highly uncertain, and after crossing Florida it would likely transform into an extratropical system and head northeast near the US coastline. It is projected to remain a Tropical Storm at this time, roughly 60 mph winds as it nears the coast. However if shear keeps it in check, it could be weaker. This and the track could change so keep an eye out on it.

Tropical Storm warnings are recommended, but not yet issued by the Cuban government for Pinar Del Rio and the Isle of Youth.

It's fairly likely to become Alberto sometime today as well.

More to come later.

Event Related Links
Stormcarib reports from the islands

Radar Imagery:
Florida Keys Long Range Radar Loop
Tampa, FL Long Range Radar Loop
Miami, FL Long Range Radar
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar

Cancun Radar
Western tip of Cuba radar

Model; Plots (More at bottom of main page):
"Spaghetti" style model plots from Colorado State / Jonathan Vigh

TD#1:

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot
Google Map Plot of storm

Animated Model Plot of TD#1
Model Plot of TD#1 (Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District)
Visible Satellite Floater
IR
Animated Floater with overlays
More Satellite Images of system

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	MikeC	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 AM
Usufull links and webcams:	wcp	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:22 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	reedzone	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:31 PM
Re: circulations	Cat 5orBust	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:48 PM
Amazing	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:46 PM
Re: Amazing	Fla. native in Ala.	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:44 PM
Re: Amazing	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:10 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	Storm Cooper	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:23 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:27 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	Margie	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:40 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	Rasvar	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:49 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	SirCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:51 PM
Re: 18Z Runs w/ NHC Track	stormchazer	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:44 PM
Re: Amazing	Beaumont, TX	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Amazing Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	lunkerhunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:49 PM
Re: Amazing Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Kimster	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:57 PM
Re: Amazing	Tazmanian93	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:03 PM
I'm Back	WeatherNLU	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:00 PM
Re: I'm Back	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:04 PM
Re: Amazing	Wait'l next year! Cubs win W S - No hurricanes	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:02 PM
Re: Amazing	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:52 PM
Re: Amazing	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:21 PM
Re: Amazing	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:40 PM
Re: Amazing	Rasvar	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:02 PM
Re: Amazing	doctormegreen	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:08 PM
Re: Amazing	bob3d	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:37 PM
Re: Amazing	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:13 PM
Re: Amazing	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:20 PM
Re: Amazing	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:38 PM
Re: Amazing	StormHound	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:28 PM
Re: Amazing	zacros	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:32 PM
Re: Amazing	BillD	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:42 PM
Re: Amazing	unregistered	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:28 PM
Re: Amazing	wxman007	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:59 PM
Re: Amazing	chaser1	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:42 PM
Re: Amazing	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:17 PM
Re: Amazing	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:54 PM
Re: Amazing Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	Stormwatchin' Dan	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:58 PM
Re: Amazing	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:05 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	Stormwatchin' Dan	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:08 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	Ron Basso	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:19 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	Old Sailor	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	MrSpock	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	BillD	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:53 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:48 PM
Storm is still in formation stages	LoisCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:54 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:19 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:10 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Clark	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:47 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	cieldumort	Sun Jun 11 2006 02:45 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Rabbit	Sun Jun 11 2006 03:07 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	cieldumort	Sun Jun 11 2006 04:10 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Rich B	Sun Jun 11 2006 04:58 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	cieldumort	Sun Jun 11 2006 06:04 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Rich B	Sun Jun 11 2006 06:40 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Storm Hunter	Sun Jun 11 2006 07:15 AM
I Am Curious...	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:39 PM
Re: I Am Curious...	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:42 PM
Re: I Am Curious...	ltpat228	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:49 PM
Re: I Am Curious...	royener	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:56 PM
Re: I Am Curious...	scottsvb	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:10 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Clark	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:51 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Big Tk	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:38 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Colleen A.	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:44 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Colleen A.	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:25 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Stormwatchin' Dan	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:41 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	cieldumort	Sun Jun 11 2006 01:15 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Stormwatchin' Dan	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:14 AM
Re: I Am Curious...	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:41 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	ElizabethH	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:24 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	THJTLW	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:15 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	ElizabethH	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:28 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Stormwatchin' Dan	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:23 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:22 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:25 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Trekman	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:30 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:32 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:40 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	hurricane_run	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:46 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:56 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Margie	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:26 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	CarolinaGurl	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:32 PM
Strike Probabilities	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:40 PM
Re: Strike Probabilities	CarolinaGurl	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:44 PM
Conditions & Thoughts-Cortez	Bev	Sun Jun 11 2006 05:15 AM
Re: Strike Probabilities	Kimster	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:59 PM
Re: Strike Probabilities	hurricane_run	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:10 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:10 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	hurricane_run	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:06 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	MikeC	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:09 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	joyfloy	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:00 AM
Changes	danielw	Sun Jun 11 2006 12:11 AM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:00 PM
11pm	LoisCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:54 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	hurricane_run	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:39 PM
Re: Storm is still in formation stages	Trekman	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:18 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 1	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:14 PM
We need the rain	brad34695	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:52 PM
Re: We need the rain	FlaMommy	Sat Jun 10 2006 07:17 PM
Re: We need the rain	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:17 PM
New advisory	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:52 PM
Current Ocean Temps - 88F (+/-) along path of TD#1	Media Lies Daily	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:07 PM
Re: Current Ocean Temps - 88F (+/-) along path of TD#1	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:35 PM
Re: Current Ocean Temps - 88F (+/-) along path of TD#1	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:38 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	gabyjan	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:24 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	BullitNutz	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:45 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:35 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Doombot!	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:22 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Margie	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:15 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rich B	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:23 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:36 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:47 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	FlaMommy	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:12 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rabbit	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:35 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Ron Basso	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:39 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rad	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:08 PM
Re: center of circulation	Cat 5orBust	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:38 PM
Re: center of circulation	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:39 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:30 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:37 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rasvar	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:46 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:57 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:20 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Colleen A.	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:53 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Beaumont, TX	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:36 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Margie	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:20 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:24 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:29 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rich B	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:05 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:33 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:05 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Geoff	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:35 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:06 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	SirCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:14 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:41 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	HCW	Sat Jun 10 2006 01:00 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:48 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rabbit	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:12 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:15 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	ftlaudbob	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:26 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:29 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rich B	Sat Jun 10 2006 12:14 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rabbit	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:47 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Storm Cooper	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:41 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	typhoon_tip	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:21 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:53 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	pete316	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:46 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:29 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	firestar_1	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:08 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:59 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Jenny	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:54 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Thomas Giella	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:10 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 02:54 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:01 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	danielw	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:13 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:54 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:58 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:04 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	turkeyman	Sat Jun 10 2006 05:36 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Clark	Sat Jun 10 2006 04:39 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	NewWatcher	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:57 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	SirCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 03:11 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	cieldumort	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:01 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rich B	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:06 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:13 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	lawgator	Sat Jun 10 2006 06:23 PM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	HCW	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:56 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:03 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:09 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rasvar	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:07 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:51 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	pete316	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:54 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Cat 5orBust	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:40 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:24 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:31 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:34 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:52 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	EaglezFan42	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:17 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	andy1tom	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:33 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	wxman007	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:56 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	andy1tom	Sat Jun 10 2006 11:06 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	charlottefl	Sat Jun 10 2006 10:28 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	RBL	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:41 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	pete316	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:31 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	ElizabethH	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:51 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Todd	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:00 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	ElizabethH	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:08 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Ronn	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:39 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	NewWatcher	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:43 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Jenny	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:48 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Terra	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:33 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:32 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:51 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rich B	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:45 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Rasvar	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:57 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Cat 5orBust	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:29 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Storm Hunter	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:11 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	SirCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:10 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:15 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	madmumbler	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:22 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	Hugh	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:25 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	N1XTV	Sat Jun 10 2006 09:32 AM
Re: First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms	SirCane	Sat Jun 10 2006 08:29 AM

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