Great information Tip...I look forward to your upcoming thoughts on this storm. Do you think that the shear will diminish enough to allow for more intensification than the NHC is currently forecasting? I can definitely see the possibility of a slower moving system, because the trough in the central US is still far off. Perhaps this could permit a longer period of reduced shear.
If you look at the visible sat, you can see a small vortex rotate southward just off of Cozumel. The circulation of TD One is still very broad and has yet to produce a single well-defined LLC upon which to build strength. I think we might see a reformation of the center closer to the deep convection near the western tip of Cuba.
-------------------- Ronn Raszetnik - Hazards Geographer
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