The 7:30p ET QuikSCAT has come in (likely did awhile ago, I just didn't see it), showing that the center at that time was located along the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula, somewhere just north of Cozumel. Another circulation -- not quite closed -- was located just north-northeast of this feature. This is likely the vigorous swirl seen in infrared satellite imagery near 24.5N/87W as of this hour. There's still some visual evidence that there is another swirl located further south, where isolated deep convection continues to pulse, but it is possible that the circulation further north takes hold and becomes the dominant one. My theory of consolidation and redevelopment further south is growing dimmer, but that's not necessarily a bad thing from a development standpoint.
Whatever circulation is there is certainly still broad and subject to many sudden and unexpected changes in structure. As with any storm, don't focus on the exact center. It's becoming more likely that unless this storm unexpectedly organizes fairly quickly, it will only be a rain event instead of a rain/isolated wind event.
More analysis/random thoughts from looking at the satellite images (ha) tomorrow.
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