Central Florida Hurricane Center 2012

4:55PM Update

Tropical Storm Alberto is still a weak tropical storm.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the west coast of Florida from north of Bonita Beach to Steinhatchee.

9:50AM Update
Due to recon reports, it appears that TD#1 has squeaked above the threshold for becoming a Tropical Storm.

Alberto is the first named storm of the 2006 season, and the next official advisory should suggest this.

It is still a very weak system, and probably will either stay that way or fluctuate back and forth.

Original Update
Wind shear is keeping Tropical Depression 1, in check, and may keep it a depression or fall apart altogether if the center continues to be well west of all the convection.

There are no Tropical Storm watches or warnings up currently.

The shear has been stronger than previously thought, and it has kept the system weak. It will still continue to push off to the north and east and give Florida a good cloud cover as well as some rain. The current forecast now has the system still making landfall as a minimal tropical storm, and since the system is now in the Gulf there is little reason to doubt that forecast.

There doesn't seem to be much opportunity right now for things to change, so continue to watch it. I'm seeing more ways for it not to strengthen than to do so, it is entirely possible Alberto may not happen, and it will make landfall as a tropical depression or less. The center right now is still moving west northwest... away from the convection and into drier air.

More to come later.

Event Related Links
Stormcarib reports from the islands

Radar Imagery:
Florida Keys Long Range Radar Loop
Tampa, FL Long Range Radar Loop
Miami, FL Long Range Radar
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar

Cancun Radar
Western tip of Cuba radar

Model; Plots (More at bottom of main page):
"Spaghetti" style model plots from Colorado State / Jonathan Vigh

TD#1:

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot
Google Map Plot of storm

Animated Model Plot of TD#1
Model Plot of TD#1 (Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District)
Visible Satellite Floater
IR
Animated Floater with overlays
More Satellite Images of system

Edited by John C (Sun Jun 11 2006 04:51 PM)

Post Extras

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

ADS