I have a feeling that there will not be a downgrade with this advisory unless they feel that this system is on its way to disappating. NHC tends to avoid reclassifying if they think it will come back. I think there may be a slight shift of the new track to the left; but not a lot. My guess is the new track will be on the right side of of the model envelope for the same reason of consistency until the models show some more run to run consistency. I would not be shocked to wake up to either a very weak, almost non-system or to see the system bugging NE in the morning. Only thing that would surprise me is something very organized.
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